Tennis · resolved market
Quito: Samuel Heredia vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb655489b680b57a44c22a88329d86c44fa376bf7cf0d5890fde2d16b7ae6c396
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matheus Pucinelli de Almeidaof Samuel Heredia, Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samuel Heredia | 11c | 6,114$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.12 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samuel Heredia | 8c | 2,172$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.54 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Samuel Heredia | 18c | 1,924$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.85 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Samuel Heredia | 12c | 1,796$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.89 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Samuel Heredia | 20c | 1,051$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.77 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Samuel Heredia | 18c | 999.96$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.65 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…2b5dbacked Samuel Heredia | 11c | 937.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Samuel Heredia | 20c | 925$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.15 | 854 | 49.6%424 W · 430 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Samuel Heredia | 16c | 736.46$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.83 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…141bbacked Samuel Heredia | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…e0c3backed Samuel Heredia | 19c | 526.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…504cbacked Samuel Heredia | 23c | 517.39$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.82 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Samuel Heredia | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Samuel Heredia | 13c | 454.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 75c | 408.39$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.1 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d77…571bbacked Samuel Heredia | 24c | 407.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Samuel Heredia | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Samuel Heredia | 18c | 270$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Samuel Heredia | 18c | 213.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Samuel Heredia | 26c | 205$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Samuel Heredia | 32c | 198.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 77c | 188.26$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Samuel Heredia | 11c | 152.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Samuel Heredia | 12c | 136.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Samuel Heredia | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…c764backed Samuel Heredia | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Samuel Heredia | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 75c | 117.2$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Samuel Heredia | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Samuel Heredia | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab2…9decbacked Samuel Heredia | 14c | 105$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Samuel Heredia | 14c | 103.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Samuel Heredia | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Samuel Heredia | 13c | 98.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Samuel Heredia | 18c | 92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Samuel Heredia | 31c | 91.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 72c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 77c | 67.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Samuel Heredia | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Samuel Heredia | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Samuel Heredia | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Samuel Heredia | 22c | 52.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 78c | 50.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Samuel Heredia | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Samuel Heredia | 30c | 45.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Samuel Heredia | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.