Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95724e9465b99bd8faf3f834c9583a78799548aa897b6e1826b35ceaef246085
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $257,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed Yes | 16c | 14,854$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.48 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 68c | 7,068$4,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.34 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 26c | 6,327$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,672.23 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…c3b2backed Yes | 8c | 5,929$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 4,891$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.99 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 79c | 4,805$3,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.76 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Yes | 13c | 4,727$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.55 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…3947backed Yes | 60c | 4,552$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.02 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,882$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.95 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 25c | 3,138$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.74 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 15c | 2,396$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.92 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 23c | 2,300$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…be16backed Yes | 17c | 2,129$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.06 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…58f0backed Yes | 3c | 2,091$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…7677backed Yes | 25c | 1,724$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.45 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 23c | 1,674$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.14 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed No | 32c | 1,500$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 31c | 1,461$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.77 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…c1a7backed Yes | 17c | 1,153$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167e…28d9backed No | 55c | 1,100$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…4b59backed Yes | 18c | 1,091$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Yes | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9574…2e6ebacked Yes | 5c | 940$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 61c | 900$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…e4edbacked Yes | 13c | 879.4$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 9c | 850$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…7a89backed Yes | 15c | 804.47$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 17cpaid | +161.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…d0c6backed Yes | 14c | 713.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…49debacked No | 71c | 649.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…13d4backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…f9a0backed Yes | 77c | 621.97$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 22c | 537.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215f…9bdabacked Yes | 7c | 513.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…551dbacked Yes | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…81d2backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…b996backed Yes | 3c | 463.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…c3b0backed No | 53c | 460.38$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.38 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcad2…6071backed Yes | 23c | 439.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7556…0644backed Yes | 42c | 427.36$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 37c | 418.76$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.95 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 7c | 403.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes | 76c | 328.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.86 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9277backed Yes | 16c | 325$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 14c | 323.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…341fbacked Yes | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed Yes | 24c | 296$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…897cbacked Yes | 4c | 263.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…1c00backed Yes | 19c | 257.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…fc9bbacked Yes | 6c | 232.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…05efbacked No | 67c | 229.86$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.72 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 6c | 224.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…b39bbacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14f…d959backed Yes | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +383%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…0cf2backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 7c | 191.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…f218backed Yes | 11c | 188.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…07dabacked Yes | 15c | 172.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a51…e98ebacked No | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…9d7abacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52d…3728backed No | 29c | 169.17$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.11 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 168.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…0d8bbacked Yes | 11c | 161.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…cce7backed Yes | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfa…9bb4backed Yes | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…026dbacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da5…90c9backed No | 51c | 142.09$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -85%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…febcbacked Yes | 15c | 131.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb9…ec36backed No | 79c | 123.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes | 32c | 120$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145d…98edbacked Yes | 70c | 117$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 12c | 116.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 55c | 109.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…d9cebacked Yes | 63c | 103.35$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…5ccbbacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +78%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa29d…6d1ebacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…33f6backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…b8cfbacked Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac7…64babacked Yes | 78c | 93.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4660…de72backed Yes | 12c | 93.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…d67cbacked No | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…e10dbacked Yes | 71c | 89.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed No | 47c | 86.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x384b…8fcdbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd43…0699backed No | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55d…7484backed Yes | 71c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x937f…8362backed No | 24c | 77.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9e…11d4backed No | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Yes | 74c | 74.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.9wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…a7b9backed Yes | 16c | 71.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0708…f218backed Yes | 32c | 70.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1f…3537backed No | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…c18abacked No | 71c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Yes | 26c | 63.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a6…a1b8backed Yes | 23c | 63.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 15-21?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 June 15-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.