Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 15-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0be3241221a1fa1a2a0061da39abb22326bda62b5592ff0aaa1a0898a4931edf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 78c | 9,398$7,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.16 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 23c | 5,937$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.11 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c5…cd02backed Yes | 4c | 5,289$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…1750backed Yes | 5c | 4,649$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.88 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed Yes | 8c | 2,535$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.62 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 11c | 1,916$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 10c | 1,763$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.28 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked Yes | 17c | 1,440$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 3c | 1,428$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,300$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 11c | 872.45$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.57 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…c46cbacked Yes | 38c | 791.48$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.97 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf85…d62ebacked Yes | 6c | 617.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…5058backed Yes | 10c | 533.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 469.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 20c | 449.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…f144backed Yes | 12c | 402.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 12c | 333.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaced…f7f9backed Yes | 19c | 325$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815d…8648backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 292.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c90…e022backed Yes | 18c | 218.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c31…001ebacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…bf02backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…e70fbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1d…7a15backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd002…59eabacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…82b2backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…960dbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fc…6ff9backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…1c02backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7afc…5ca2backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…76e9backed Yes | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9864…9fc8backed Yes | 18c | 199.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87b…1a52backed Yes | 17c | 179.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efd…fa98backed Yes | 29c | 162.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e36…508fbacked Yes | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…d046backed Yes | 12c | 153.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…1738backed Yes | 15c | 139$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58bd…cd15backed No | 76c | 132.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1526…f851backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ff…05c8backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ea…236abacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f9…a0f1backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…98c6backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57c…b0fbbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfb…9ebabacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…0e59backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade4…e91dbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53b6…ddf8backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…e257backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…c374backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…8b8bbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…9d08backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847d…f233backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…b831backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…0fcabacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…3ce9backed Yes | 18c | 70.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06a…48c2backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 15-21?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 15-21?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 15-21?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 June 15-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.