Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4abe3c2fdc015236ff0d57b43eb05f13112bfd6cb02f0ab1fdcb56a7b3453a92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $407,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $407,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 44c | 123,345$54,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,476.61 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 49,219$30,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,387.06 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes | 47c | 41,994$19,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,737.31 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 36,779$20,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,088.26 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 36,720$17,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,039.53 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked No | 54c | 19,869$10,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,141.9 | 150 | 44%66 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 55c | 17,718$9,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,051.91 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 61c | 16,278$9,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,409.98 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Yes | 34c | 14,900$5,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,069.95 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 46c | 11,298$5,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,207.43 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 10,792$5,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,986.87 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 53c | 10,711$5,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,074 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed No | 52c | 8,572$4,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,114.76 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4770…1ddebacked Yes | 47c | 8,364$3,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,930.94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 56c | 8,161$4,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,577.38 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 36c | 6,641$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.78 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed No | 54c | 6,269$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.54 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 54c | 6,218$3,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.54 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 53c | 6,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed No | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed No | 55c | 5,488$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.22 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 46c | 5,182$2,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.14 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 43c | 5,000$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.9 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 53c | 3,534$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.12 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 53c | 3,405$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.32 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed No | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 205 | 47.3%97 W · 108 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 49c | 2,659$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.97 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.99 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 49c | 2,415$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.73 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 48c | 2,096$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…54edbacked Yes | 46c | 2,091$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.97 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 54c | 1,944$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.24 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd26…d405backed Yes | 47c | 1,913$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.2 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…c991backed Yes | 1c | 1,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 36c | 1,561$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.11 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 54c | 1,516$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.53 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 53c | 1,472$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.84 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 54c | 1,450$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed No | 53c | 1,450$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.5 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 48c | 1,375$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 53c | 1,296$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.12 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 55c | 1,222$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.87 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…d556backed Yes | 8c | 1,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…9555backed Yes | 38c | 1,192$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…231dbacked No | 53c | 1,119$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.87 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…8018backed Yes | 48c | 1,023$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.82 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…70e6backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 973.13$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.89 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed No | 54c | 929.98$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.98 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 55c | 818.18$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.18 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 54c | 791.51$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.5 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed No | 54c | 791$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.46 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 53c | 776.83$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.24 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 51c | 722.63$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.01 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…ab7fbacked Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 46c | 687$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.61 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 53c | 678.02$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.67 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x411d…a0b1backed Yes | 46c | 645.65$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 3c | 644.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 47c | 642.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 47c | 641.65$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.57 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167e…28d9backed Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes | 47c | 623.94$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.25 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed No | 57c | 600$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65e…b719backed Yes | 36c | 599.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 170 | 40%68 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 54c | 555.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.67 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed No | 55c | 545.59$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.72 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 30c | 545.06$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 38c | 542.3$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.55 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c2…e754backed Yes | 47c | 539.3$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.47 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Yes | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 277 | 42.2%117 W · 160 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 55c | 531.82$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.09 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 38c | 525.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 512.12$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…a921backed Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed Yes | 38c | 499.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 53c | 481.15$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.87 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 52c | 479.86$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.98 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 54c | 470.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.75 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 470.79$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.38 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 57c | 465.12$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…e3d7backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…ef94backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Yes | 48c | 427.88$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.38 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb85…3ee2backed Yes | 47c | 426.86$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia leading at halftime?this page
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?Yes won
- DR Congo leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.