Fifa International · resolved market
DR Congo leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf829cd6a279d20f4facadb5a5dbbcf660ddf812e6cd34883c74eb7b9c8ca2e7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 47,679$3,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,942.77 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 12c | 11,351$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 7,531$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.59 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 7,149$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.68 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 12c | 7,048$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.32 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 5,075$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.86 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 12c | 3,361$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.31 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,465$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.53 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,861$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 4c | 1,804$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,300$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,097$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…c991backed Yes | 6c | 990.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 8c | 989.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes | 7c | 911.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Yes | 12c | 791.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 11c | 740$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 14c | 719.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 13c | 692.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…0484backed Yes | 6c | 511.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…df9abacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 6c | 486.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 4c | 465.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…9e8dbacked Yes | 6c | 311.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cd…0558backed Yes | 13c | 308.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 4c | 300.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 12c | 191.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 11c | 177.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Yes | 12c | 171.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…1c7dbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x988b…e331backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…51f5backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 12c | 152$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Yes | 8c | 151.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…be19backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 323 | 12.1%39 W · 284 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f0b2backed Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7978…473cbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe382…f187backed Yes | 13c | 93.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc1…a1b5backed Yes | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- DR Congo leading at halftime?this page
- Colombia leading at halftime?No won
- Colombia vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.