Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dca2c4f2fcbc3999cac64743dfc02c75f0ac5220f1a17764e54d90b32cd9ac2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 3c | 13,203$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.42 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 33c | 8,496$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.49 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed No | 78c | 7,645$5,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.58 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2305…04f2backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…91a1backed Yes | 1c | 4,635$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8a…4362backed Yes | 1c | 4,056$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ff…3fcdbacked Yes | 7c | 3,425$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 9c | 2,521$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.93 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 18c | 2,450$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 5c | 2,412$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.82 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc409…4d2abacked Yes | 2c | 2,332$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 48 | 0%0 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…efb8backed Yes | 2c | 2,213$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…7677backed Yes | 23c | 2,200$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,946$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,936$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 6c | 1,670$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e9adbacked Yes | 6c | 1,562$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed No | 48c | 1,550$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.01 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…66dfbacked No | 20c | 1,500$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +146.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,444$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…fa4abacked Yes | 3c | 1,055$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…daf3backed Yes | 5c | 1,029$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…de5fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 934.56$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…596bbacked Yes | 2c | 930.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4be…2309backed Yes | 7c | 915.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…61e1backed Yes | 6c | 907.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…9434backed Yes | 18c | 905.83$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x313b…ab59backed No | 28c | 755.74$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +141.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8340…ab95backed Yes | 18c | 745$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…3653backed Yes | 4c | 641.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe004…cce7backed Yes | 4c | 615$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 22c | 545.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…85debacked Yes | 19c | 526$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed Yes | 19c | 524.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked No | 25c | 504$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…3947backed Yes | 79c | 448.76$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.44 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 78c | 418.52$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9619…0591backed Yes | 23c | 349.28$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…b090backed No | 76c | 324.08$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…e70fbacked Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dd…d68ebacked Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6095…5be5backed Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc584…8640backed Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…960dbacked Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fc…6ff9backed Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…89bcbacked Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…1c02backed Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e46…0602backed Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7afc…5ca2backed Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…76e9backed Yes | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6685…0622backed No | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…245dbacked Yes | 43c | 249.72$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa5…edacbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes | 78c | 197.76$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d0…ee98backed Yes | 6c | 196.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 26c | 177.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…7b42backed Yes | 49c | 168.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…5506backed Yes | 7c | 166.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…0b0bbacked Yes | 8c | 162.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe87d…8cafbacked No | 25c | 140$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaac7…64babacked No | 79c | 126.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d7…4422backed Yes | 16c | 115.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1526…f851backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaced…f7f9backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c31…001ebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…bf02backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ff…05c8backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ea…236abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1d…7a15backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd002…59eabacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…82b2backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f9…a0f1backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…98c6backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57c…b0fbbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…0e59backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade4…e91dbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53b6…ddf8backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…e257backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…c374backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea55…5f24backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfb…9ebabacked Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d98…00e3backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8e16backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…ef6ebacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…73e1backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…8b8bbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…9d08backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847d…f233backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ce…b139backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…b831backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…0fcabacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…1288backed Yes | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…33b5backed No | 53c | 85.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe65…cd92backed Yes | 70c | 71.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 22-28?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 22-28?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 22-28?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 22-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.