TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,655

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,700 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes3c13,203$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.421466.2%9 W · 137 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes33c8,496$2,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,783.4987828.4%249 W · 629 L+2.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5a…3965backed No78c7,645$5,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.584436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2305…04f2backed Yes1c5,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.95120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc8…91a1backed Yes1c4,635$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50240%0 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8a…4362backed Yes1c4,056$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45150%0 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x744c…e37fbacked No52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.152070%14 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+28.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb5ff…3fcdbacked Yes7c3,425$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-72.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1464…8748backed No41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7707112.7%9 W · 62 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xad1f…6c61backed Yes9c2,521$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.9312129.8%36 W · 85 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+142.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes18c2,450$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4531288.6%11 W · 117 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76c8…e383backed Yes5c2,412$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.82904.4%4 W · 86 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc409…4d2abacked Yes2c2,332$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.24480%0 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f32…efb8backed Yes2c2,213$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.49430%0 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce7b…7677backed Yes23c2,200$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5064617.4%8 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c1,946$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.221,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes1c1,936$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154754.6%22 W · 453 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+144.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab51…2473backed Yes6c1,670$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011813.6%16 W · 102 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick4cpaid+281.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x785f…e9adbacked Yes6c1,562$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d97…d127backed No48c1,550$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.013215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d47…66dfbacked No20c1,500$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+146.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes2c1,444$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.052126.6%14 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick6cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3080…fa4abacked Yes3c1,055$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.47128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cb…daf3backed Yes5c1,029$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.951711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-69.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6dc…246ebacked No40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60013770.1%96 W · 41 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5e…de5fbacked Yes3c1,000$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c934.56$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7828113.2%37 W · 244 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d74…596bbacked Yes2c930.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15263.8%1 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-92.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4be…2309backed Yes7c915.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.962222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8356…61e1backed Yes6c907.1$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0370%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e34…9434backed Yes18c905.83$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-73.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x313b…ab59backed No28c755.74$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+141.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8340…ab95backed Yes18c745$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387e…3653backed Yes4c641.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe004…cce7backed Yes4c615$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.26510%0 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0013…3c30backed Yes22c545.45$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120110%0 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f3…85debacked Yes19c526$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.941145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4fc…a926backed Yes19c524.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked No25c504$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3782128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x846f…750ebacked Yes51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25513038.5%50 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c6…3947backed Yes79c448.76$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.442638.5%10 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc250…8d6ebacked No78c418.52$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.195964.4%38 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9619…0591backed Yes23c349.28$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc18e…b090backed No76c324.08$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.023871.1%27 W · 11 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa383…e70fbacked Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2dd…d68ebacked Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6095…5be5backed Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-46%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc584…8640backed Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x022d…960dbacked Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-76.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4fc…6ff9backed Yes45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2512…89bcbacked Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b64…1c02backed Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-66.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e46…0602backed Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7afc…5ca2backed Yes43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2417…76e9backed Yes43c299.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6685…0622backed No51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.123148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ef…245dbacked Yes43c249.72$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.97520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43a6…8b32backed No73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545470.4%38 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa5…edacbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005038%19 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes78c197.76$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.252045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20d0…ee98backed Yes6c196.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x726f…d8e7backed Yes26c177.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8511330.1%34 W · 79 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8944…7b42backed Yes49c168.51$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.022157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca1f…5506backed Yes7c166.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.062626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7609…0b0bbacked Yes8c162.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe87d…8cafbacked No25c140$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1052759.3%16 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+38.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaac7…64babacked No79c126.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.751376.9%10 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick77cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63d7…4422backed Yes16c115.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.41616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+54.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1526…f851backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaced…f7f9backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c31…001ebacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa810…bf02backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ff…05c8backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59ea…236abacked Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a1d…7a15backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd002…59eabacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-42.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa08…82b2backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f9…a0f1backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20c…98c6backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe57c…b0fbbacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac1…0e59backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade4…e91dbacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53b6…ddf8backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95d4…e257backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x883d…c374backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea55…5f24backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10180%0 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfb…9ebabacked Yes15c99.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d98…00e3backed Yes17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae2…8e16backed Yes17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x598a…ef6ebacked Yes17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2c9…73e1backed Yes17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcff0…8b8bbacked Yes17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+30.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cee…9d08backed Yes17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x847d…f233backed Yes17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ce…b139backed Yes17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe346…b831backed Yes17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2c…0fcabacked Yes17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0238…1288backed Yes17c99.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf4c…33b5backed No53c85.06$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.244341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe65…cd92backed Yes70c71.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501963.2%12 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.