Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ca483b115e939394bed4b20b26ebddbf0349fb1aedb24733b03667e675d5d56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof ThunderTalk Gaming, LGD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked LGD Gaming | 66c | 20,243$13,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,882.49 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 9,444$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.1 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 3,193$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…e8abbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 2,595$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.69 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 1,497$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.03 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 1,421$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.94 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 1,292$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.4 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 1,011$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.74 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked LGD Gaming | 69c | 1,010$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.86 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed LGD Gaming | 65c | 830$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.5 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 219 | 39.3%86 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 715.96$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.85 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…cf56backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked LGD Gaming | 65c | 605.83$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.04 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3039…9ed0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 598.38$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.3 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa896…4819backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LGD Gaming | 64c | 454.95$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.01 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 435.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 266 | 39.5%105 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 320$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 240$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 230$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 210.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 171.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 152.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f00…2f63backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 113.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…704bbacked LGD Gaming | 66c | 110.97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 100.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 97.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 82.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 74.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 511 | 46.8%239 W · 272 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…b135backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 69.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…86e7backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…bf7abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 65.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 59.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 57.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591b…8410backed LGD Gaming | 69c | 57.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a42…ad20backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcae…2397backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…e35abacked LGD Gaming | 66c | 37.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked LGD Gaming | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 149 | 60.4%90 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…85bdbacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…4f81backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…ea61backed LGD Gaming | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 255 | 67.8%173 W · 82 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: LGD (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Game Handicap: TT (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5)LGD Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsLGD Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.