TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,172
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,987

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,172 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked Under25c8,800$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.721,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed Over75c8,137$6,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,041.1239964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Over77c7,794$5,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.6714848.6%72 W · 76 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-18.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Under23c4,019$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.371,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65037948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under23c2,900$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.951,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under24c2,892$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.0224832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5409…79dbbacked Over72c2,770$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.930160.8%183 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Under24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9947047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf64f…9f48backed Under21c1,902$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.346230.6%19 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over77c1,900$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4371,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c48…5acabacked Over79c1,890$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.11172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under26c1,600$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.9944335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Over75c1,158$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.8960855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under24c1,111$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6452750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over76c693.76$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.41,58743.8%695 W · 892 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under25c672.9$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1624650%123 W · 123 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over76c660.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2766058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Over75c603.02$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.751,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16232839.6%130 W · 198 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Over74c597.97$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4790337.5%339 W · 564 L-18.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Over74c584.59$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9937640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under25c510.92$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.762,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Under25c458.08$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5252045%234 W · 286 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Over76c452.08$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0813960.4%84 W · 55 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0422…ae21backed Over77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.61771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa241…67a6backed Over74c388.03$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.563560%21 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a1…4f61backed Under26c384.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Under25c372.76$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1912340.7%50 W · 73 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8634…1b5bbacked Over47c364.4$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.213956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c04…7dcabacked Over74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783560%21 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under26c300$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.579745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48d8…c70fbacked Over75c274.72$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.681060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over59c269.73$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.662,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9e…3a30backed Over76c257.14$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7115857.6%91 W · 67 L+0.7wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under27c240$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.874637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Over47c212.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.945536.4%20 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under26c211.7$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0822748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed Under52c210$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.242246.4%196 W · 226 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa876…4215backed Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba42…27d2backed Under18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over51c197.57$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9222165.6%145 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed Over76c197.32$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3210847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Under55c194.68$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0757349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010169.3%70 W · 31 L+14.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+28.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over76c171.32$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3263458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Under55c151$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0548747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over73c138.88$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.524543.3%106 W · 139 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3340645.6%185 W · 221 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed Over76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5844350.8%225 W · 218 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Over76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5884360.1%507 W · 336 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff27…073ebacked Over80c125.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.083366.7%22 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under26c118.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3819148.7%93 W · 98 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Over75c107.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1140365%262 W · 141 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.537650%188 W · 188 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f9f…894fbacked Over73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276564.6%42 W · 23 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over75c89.98$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4915956%89 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Over73c84.93$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9343739.8%174 W · 263 L-23.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Over77c84.05$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.333148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e7a…2cdabacked Under25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb70a…29c8backed Over76c78.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.951478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under24c76.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5628559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeff4…2aa4backed Over74c76.48$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8833263.6%211 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Over75c73$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2517755.9%99 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Under52c67.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.989448.9%46 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x913d…02bfbacked Over76c66.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0518863.3%119 W · 69 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b5a…c04bbacked Over76c65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7310575.2%79 W · 26 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+24.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5ea2…370cbacked Under25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1547434.8%165 W · 309 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over73c54.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4623880.3%191 W · 47 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1aad…4b0bbacked Over76c50.25$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.064440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9cc…d45fbacked Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020960.8%127 W · 82 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9311…e731backed Under25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.523258.6%136 W · 96 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed Over73c47.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.863951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4e…8f3ebacked Under28c46.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137349.3%36 W · 37 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07f5…d680backed Over76c44.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.93951.3%20 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf75…cd85backed Over75c42.42$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.429346.2%43 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d60…6df2backed Over75c41.27$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.527856.4%44 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffbf…1184backed Under25c40.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028759.9%172 W · 115 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe450…a40abacked Over77c40.46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4612263.1%77 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021051.4%108 W · 102 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Over77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.968554.1%46 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over75c32.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2461256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Under56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1549451.8%256 W · 238 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc37a…dc07backed Over76c26.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.381675%12 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cec…d3abbacked Over76c26.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94c0…a805backed Over75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.258657%49 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under55c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.651,45943.3%632 W · 827 L-33.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c6…2e9fbacked Over75c22.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.78339.8%33 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Over77c21.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9232755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04d9…fa77backed Over70c21.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.427139.4%28 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Over55c21.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6338845.4%176 W · 212 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Over72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.657655.9%322 W · 254 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ec…c264backed Over78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.479773.3%584 W · 213 L+45.3wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over74c15.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.965874.1%43 W · 15 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf86e…efbebacked Over75c14.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.73366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.