TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 3?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,501 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8725…eb10backed Under47c11,748$5,548 inWon+$6,199.592,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Over53c10,900$5,777 inLost-$5,77716356.4%92 W · 71 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Over53c786.25$415 inLost-$415.362,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Over50c666$333 inLost-$3331,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Under47c635$298 inWon+$336.5515950.9%81 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Under47c608.72$286 inWon+$322.2824535.9%88 W · 157 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c500$260 inLost-$2601,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Over53c310.09$164 inLost-$164.3544451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Under47c260$122 inWon+$137.81,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9140…17e0backed Under49c211.95$104 inWon+$108.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef4a…0314backed Over51c72.79$37 inLost-$37.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd410…bce5backed Over51c72.24$37 inLost-$36.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Over51c66.61$34 inLost-$33.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost-$2032050%160 W · 160 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Under37c35.64$13 inWon+$22.2934849.1%171 W · 177 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over53c19.38$10 inLost-$10.271,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.