TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,526
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,681

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,526 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked Under25c25,747$6,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,277.5296048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under34c11,263$3,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,438.592,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Over62c11,000$6,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8301,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Over67c7,132$4,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,774.3912840.6%52 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ba8…d72bbacked Over61c5,607$3,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,414.2217659.7%105 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked Over60c5,577$3,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,346.3515860.8%96 W · 62 L+12.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Over62c4,958$3,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,085.671,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc700…31a1backed Under37c3,533$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.025145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89015046%69 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Over65c3,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9507339.7%29 W · 44 L-9.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.8%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Over61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.8214848.6%72 W · 76 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-18.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed Over64c2,982$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.516460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Over67c1,921$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.075133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb03b…4197backed Over60c1,800$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0805437%20 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Over63c1,776$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.8814352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Over64c1,582$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.122,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under36c1,546$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.1952750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc99…e947backed Under37c1,397$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.176434.4%22 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa644…026ebacked Under37c1,212$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.562556%14 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31ed…d916backed Under37c1,212$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.551442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under40c1,072$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.621,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over61c939.53$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.482,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under29c849.12$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.5212937.2%48 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under32c825.56$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.843,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under37c781$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.0325342.7%108 W · 145 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Under18c747.49$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.9747047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over64c699.99$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44562649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Over61c654$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.9411344.2%50 W · 63 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Over67c633.31$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.2212545.6%57 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Under52c503.86$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.5622265.3%145 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x321d…d0acbacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012462.9%78 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb56…c1bcbacked Over62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-69.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024554.7%134 W · 111 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under35c495.38$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.7215748.4%76 W · 81 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Over67c459.85$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30856432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over62c429.99$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9924650%123 W · 123 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked Over72c418.01$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.112339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over61c412.19$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25063458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac89…3783backed Over67c403.99$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.673545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked Over67c403.13$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2708949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed Under58c353.99$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9342246.4%196 W · 226 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over60c350$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21021946.6%102 W · 117 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33f6…bcc2backed Over64c347$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.932236.4%8 W · 14 L-5.6wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-40.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Over61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1831,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Under36c281$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.844341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over61c278.69$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17030255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Over67c249.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4928240.4%114 W · 168 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Over61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016640.4%67 W · 99 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Under40c243.18$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.914040%16 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over29c242$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3919553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Over63c239.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1920154.7%110 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under54c226.64$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2946452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over60c212$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2212454%67 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c04…7dcabacked Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203560%21 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12033254.2%180 W · 152 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed Over66c199.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9910959.6%65 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Under39c199$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3932555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed Over67c185.68$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Over61c185.38$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0821746.5%101 W · 116 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over65c180.93$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6148844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under37c179.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.460243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over60c171$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.651852.7%273 W · 245 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over66c164.83$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.281,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc9e…3a30backed Over61c164.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015857.6%91 W · 67 L+0.7wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8637…0c86backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011762.4%73 W · 44 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed Over66c153.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.886848.5%33 W · 35 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under40c152.06$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.031,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under37c150$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.531650.3%159 W · 157 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Over63c149$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.877653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under35c144.8$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0134834.2%119 W · 229 L-39.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under37c141.85$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7340641.9%170 W · 236 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over63c129$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2712352%64 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked Over67c127.88$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.327841%32 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Over64c126$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.641643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over62c108$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9679745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over66c104.7$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.051,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9da2…4b3bbacked Over62c103.01$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.053943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over67c101.52$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x06ab…7457backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Over61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6135223.9%84 W · 268 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010141.6%42 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over59c99.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5959647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over68c97.87$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.61,54354.8%845 W · 698 L+75.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5a9…2c34backed Over59c88.05$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9515341.8%64 W · 89 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1dee…9f2cbacked Over64c87.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568746%40 W · 47 L-9.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed Under58c83.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.215956%89 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5068253.5%365 W · 317 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over61c79.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.171,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99ef…184dbacked Under49c78.03$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0317953.1%95 W · 84 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f50…e12bbacked Over67c77.39$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.851154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa308…c229backed Over66c75.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b5…ecffbacked Over66c75.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf75…cd85backed Over60c73.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449346.2%43 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under43c72.82$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.171,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xee1d…cc3abacked Over60c72.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.388148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c79…8fffbacked Over54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.816143.5%70 W · 91 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Over63c70$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.18051.3%41 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c23…bf7abacked Under41c61.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.172040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.