Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2add3b3a41c706e28bbdf523a08b3c4882cca2e1bff9fae57893bf577a5c9c14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 51c | 10,896$5,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,339.02 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.98 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 49c | 1,293$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.74 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 51c | 1,274$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.79 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Over | 51c | 1,220$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.03 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Over | 51c | 1,082$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.24 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 50c | 834.21$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.11 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Over | 51c | 639.22$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.22 | 769 | 55%423 W · 346 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Under | 49c | 457$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.93 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…2642backed Over | 51c | 423.34$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Over | 51c | 237.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 50c | 200.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 46.3%95 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 49c | 125.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Under | 51c | 102.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3516…45e5backed Over | 50c | 78.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Under | 52c | 77.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…8fb6backed Over | 51c | 73.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…4b3bbacked Under | 57c | 63.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…2a04backed Over | 69c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 51c | 45.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 35.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 34.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…374bbacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Team WE won
- Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)Team WE won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsTeam WE won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 WinnerTeam WE won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.