Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x368e45072813f9ecde8f72c413dc05e3cb41d68523d16ade2c768588da85b931
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 19c | 1,718$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.79 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7a…aaaebacked Over | 27c | 727.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 26c | 599.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…e497backed Over | 50c | 576.62$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.31 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 50c | 546.72$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.36 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…55b8backed Under | 74c | 536.31$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.44 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed Under | 52c | 415.21$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Under | 78c | 376.57$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.84 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2055…4542backed Over | 48c | 339.27$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.85 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 73c | 232.47$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 77c | 208.72$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Under | 56c | 183.22$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.62 | 325 | 55.7%181 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Over | 44c | 178.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 76c | 134$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd083…d678backed Over | 23c | 126$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 79c | 121.37$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Over | 25c | 83.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…e759backed Over | 24c | 83.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70a…29c8backed Under | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 71c | 74.96$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 26c | 61.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Over | 48c | 55.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 74c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x56d0…6b25backed Under | 68c | 29.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…6ebdbacked Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 75c | 25.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…16e6backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 75c | 19.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe600…441ebacked Under | 74c | 16.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Team WE won
- Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)Team WE won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsTeam WE won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 WinnerTeam WE won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.