Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b4f671f937586ea0e4e32a2eb33c948e5f5c6eea92fd230171a0fb1f8b3d04e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 496.39$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.19 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 49c | 249.06$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 215.81$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.55 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 51c | 202.8$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.43 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a7…4f5bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Over | 51c | 117.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 53c | 71.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176b…59a2backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 36c | 56.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…258ebacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…2372backed Over | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)EDward Gaming won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5)EDward Gaming won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)EDward Gaming won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London PlayoffsEDward Gaming won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerEDward Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.