TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$967,954
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$979,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $967,954 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 556 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over34c325,364$111,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,872.411,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c5…cbd0backed Under66c300,000$198,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,0002548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c90,657$62,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,365.394,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over29c65,763$19,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,002.742,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under66c25,506$16,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,697.9377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Over33c22,855$7,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,542.1511642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under67c18,032$12,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,883.852,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over31c17,870$5,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,490.498,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ec79backed Over7c13,599$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.728723%20 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Under66c12,983$8,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,381.742218.2%4 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-60.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under70c12,859$8,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,909.762,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under64c10,330$6,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,751.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…d87cbacked Over33c10,303$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4002532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid+35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under67c9,609$6,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,171.0136250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over31c9,570$2,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,966.681,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over33c9,000$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,97059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over32c8,715$2,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,747.012,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under69c8,633$5,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,680.791,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800f…3586backed Over36c8,558$3,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,080.781315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-76%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaee…5ec9backed Under68c8,131$5,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,601.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under68c7,171$4,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.453348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Over32c6,171$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.685749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under67c6,167$4,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.912,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under69c6,131$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,930.351,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dba…c1a7backed Over32c5,373$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7003330.3%10 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+79.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over34c4,609$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.8263255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under67c4,416$2,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.2626454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd519…932cbacked Over6c4,175$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.532711.1%3 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Under68c3,625$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.063154.8%17 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Over30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012329.3%36 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9ec6…eda9backed Over30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Over32c3,256$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.0247235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Over31c3,230$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.294348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over31c3,100$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9618617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under67c3,033$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.9237850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under64c2,988$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.713,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9278…9a1bbacked Under67c2,983$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.5215453.9%83 W · 71 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…68bcbacked Over34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under69c2,889$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.611,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under65c2,564$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.148152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under64c2,403$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.661,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c4…2378backed Under67c2,400$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79211156.8%63 W · 48 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under67c2,400$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.9739050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under72c2,385$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.8728025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ea8…9469backed Over34c2,353$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008353%44 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Over32c2,326$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.3143635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Under68c2,210$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.9714051.4%72 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under66c2,200$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.9937451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under67c2,140$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.5638451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under67c2,139$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.9935251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over33c2,124$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70030140.5%122 W · 179 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over31c2,010$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.831,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Under64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed Over33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-74.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Over5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007027.1%19 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over8c1,950$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9539644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over30c1,833$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.652,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under67c1,800$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.9935251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2a…267ebacked Under66c1,692$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.45754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef7a…1c34backed Under65c1,650$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.493450%17 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under64c1,641$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.6959752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7655…2b5ebacked Over32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500387.9%3 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcee7…feacbacked Over35c1,514$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked Over34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Under68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.598835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under67c1,415$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46738351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under68c1,412$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.7352744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over30c1,311$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.622,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d35…06b5backed Under70c1,270$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.0510251%52 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under67c1,228$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40537051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Over33c1,212$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014734%50 W · 97 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6d0…712dbacked Over32c1,200$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.663450%17 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under67c1,200$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39635451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under67c1,200$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39640848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over33c1,196$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.6415034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Over5c1,049$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9419020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under67c1,029$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.6235352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae4…273ebacked Over35c1,005$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.759354.8%51 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3b…6598backed Over33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330205%1 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d7…761dbacked Over34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3403828.9%11 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x246e…9556backed Over34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3402825%7 W · 21 L-6.6wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-53.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under70c999.99$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over33c978.66$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.9684751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc036…2b99backed Under76c972.91$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46dd…257ebacked Over31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9c3…dbc7backed Over31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009439.4%37 W · 57 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ca…ebd1backed Over32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under67c936$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.8837452.1%195 W · 179 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over31c919.35$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2855950.8%30 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+31.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over33c910.38$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.787837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under68c901.89$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.634851.7%180 W · 168 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over33c899.99$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30126921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce4b…6e08backed Over36c888$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.681926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81c1…5c7dbacked Under66c859.09$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.092259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under65c852.55$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.394665.2%30 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.