Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0706bb355fccf2de49f8ba92b69af5a53e762aa0779de1d2ce7d2aed2223985d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 49c | 20,427$10,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,007.48 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 51c | 9,115$4,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,466.19 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Under | 51c | 3,529$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.41 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Under | 51c | 3,304$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.13 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 49c | 2,127$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.72 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 51c | 1,188$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.12 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Under | 51c | 1,088$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.24 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 51c | 1,042$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.95 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…39d1backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Under | 51c | 935.29$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.29 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 50c | 730.36$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.18 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Under | 46c | 720.4$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.22 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Under | 51c | 705.88$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.88 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 51c | 663.06$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.06 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Under | 50c | 627.63$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.92 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Under | 51c | 619.61$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.61 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Under | 51c | 584.31$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.31 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Over | 62c | 294.79$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.58 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…12a2backed Under | 51c | 252.36$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…51c2backed Under | 46c | 176.8$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 53c | 67.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Over | 49c | 50.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 139 | 61.2%85 W · 54 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…3c44backed Over | 62c | 20.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4b24backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.