Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6fea6c07c4854d54bfeb2d91740f196c88103e0c3e9192bbe11a741ff8fc577
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Over | 47c | 4,000$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.98 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…4a75backed Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 55c | 1,631$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.89 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 55c | 982.95$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.33 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 54c | 803.94$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.81 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 46c | 507$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.22 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 55c | 491.2$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.04 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under | 60c | 471$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.4 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 57c | 457.68$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.98 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Under | 48c | 408.33$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.33 | 390 | 55.4%216 W · 174 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 386.06$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.75 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 44c | 342.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…77cfbacked Under | 27c | 299.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 43c | 299.28$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.66 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Over | 44c | 282.59$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 55c | 244.78$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.65 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Under | 65c | 205.21$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 61c | 160.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 64c | 145.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…086abacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 45c | 82.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 55c | 76.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…66c1backed Over | 45c | 75.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946c…59cbbacked Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Under | 51c | 51.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Over | 50c | 50.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 799 | 73.3%586 W · 213 L | +45.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 39c | 40.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…bce2backed Over | 48c | 33.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 48c | 25.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 50c | 23.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…57a3backed Under | 62c | 17.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Under | 62c | 17.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.