Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2d1267f92c4767c655954dc27401a0059eb07530c9257d56757f0ac0760212f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 43c | 4,139$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.61 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Under | 56c | 1,212$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.03 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 57c | 1,186$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.96 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Under | 57c | 929.83$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.83 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…239cbacked Over | 43c | 555$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Under | 57c | 427$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.61 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 32c | 420.86$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.11 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba8…d72bbacked Over | 54c | 407.61$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.15 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 57c | 403.51$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.51 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Under | 57c | 348.25$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.75 | 909 | 37.3%339 W · 570 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 56c | 340.25$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.71 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 60c | 338.64$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.46 | 1,412 | 43.8%618 W · 794 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 55c | 327.89$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.57 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed Over | 64c | 273.92$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…46e8backed Over | 67c | 272.24$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 36c | 271.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.49 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 44c | 239.24$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…70d9backed Over | 44c | 224.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 67c | 222$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 665 | 58.8%391 W · 274 L | -37.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 45c | 209.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 10c | 208.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 45c | 152.51$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 38c | 151.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 62c | 151.37$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 129.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 38c | 114.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 44c | 111.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…51c2backed Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68f…5106backed Over | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 57c | 85.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 57c | 85.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 1,097 | 52.3%574 W · 523 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…3a30backed Under | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Over | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 394 | 45.2%178 W · 216 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68b3…97c8backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 57c | 49.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02f…3bd2backed Over | 43c | 47.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Over | 47c | 42.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Under | 55c | 39.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 68c | 29.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 1,348 | 47.3%637 W · 711 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 56c | 25.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9b…e768backed Under | 78c | 20.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier PlayoffsHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.