Lol · resolved market
LoL: Francesinhas vs Bubliki (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x436491e92110d17e63c7ad0ce3ab9c0dbd003f9d890d483ec99d28cffab72bff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikiof Francesinhas, Bubliki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked Bubliki | 66c | 2,996$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Francesinhas | 33c | 2,676$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.13 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Francesinhas | 34c | 1,797$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.91 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed Bubliki | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Francesinhas | 2c | 1,262$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd0…b937backed Bubliki | 62c | 959.05$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Bubliki | 67c | 782.85$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Francesinhas | 30c | 734.13$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.24 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed Francesinhas | 47c | 588.26$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…b58fbacked Francesinhas | 57c | 512$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.9wins | -0.35per pick | 56cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Bubliki | 69c | 510$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Bubliki | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Francesinhas | 53c | 491.93$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.75 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed Francesinhas | 49c | 403.53$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.58 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Bubliki | 75c | 387.54$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Bubliki | 50c | 361.25$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.63 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Francesinhas | 50c | 340.79$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.09 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Bubliki | 43c | 339.64$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.77 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed Francesinhas | 60c | 329.38$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.63 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Francesinhas | 50c | 299.61$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Bubliki | 54c | 299.1$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.23 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…1262backed Bubliki | 43c | 296.46$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Bubliki | 67c | 292$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.36 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Francesinhas | 13c | 279.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -21.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Francesinhas | 33c | 278$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Francesinhas | 31c | 274.35$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.44 | 86 | 18.6%16 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Francesinhas | 5c | 241$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30bf…a6f7backed Bubliki | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Francesinhas | 55c | 222.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Bubliki | 46c | 208.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Francesinhas | 47c | 203.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 79 | 27.8%22 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Bubliki | 46c | 202.7$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Francesinhas | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…8fabbacked Bubliki | 52c | 191.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Francesinhas | 34c | 177.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Francesinhas | 30c | 165.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Francesinhas | 44c | 140.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…6ad4backed Francesinhas | 31c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 182 | 31.3%57 W · 125 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bubliki | 40c | 100.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Bubliki | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Francesinhas | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 405 | 46.2%187 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…a34bbacked Francesinhas | 51c | 96.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Francesinhas | 34c | 94.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Francesinhas | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 282 | 35.1%99 W · 183 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Francesinhas | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Francesinhas | 27c | 74.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Francesinhas | 17c | 71.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Bubliki | 67c | 64.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Bubliki | 74c | 60.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Francesinhas | 49c | 59.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c44…4b9dbacked Bubliki | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bubliki | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed Francesinhas | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Bubliki | 46c | 49.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed Francesinhas | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Francesinhas | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Francesinhas | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 214 | 51.4%110 W · 104 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…51c2backed Francesinhas | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Francesinhas | 32c | 36.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Bubliki | 42c | 35.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Francesinhas | 58c | 34.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Francesinhas | 45c | 30.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Bubliki | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 153 | 56.9%87 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Francesinhas | 53c | 22.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Bubliki | 72c | 21.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4b24backed Francesinhas | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Bubliki | 51c | 20.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.