TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,565
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,565 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Spirit54c6,186$3,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,836.7855157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Team Yandex1c5,555$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.77449.1%4 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-81.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Team Spirit40c4,800$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88214840.5%60 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex43c3,947$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.161,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc736…7255backed Team Spirit62c3,705$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.694141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex47c3,348$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.21,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit49c2,605$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.4999844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac70…2d8dbacked Team Spirit51c2,478$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.419245.7%42 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf243…5fb4backed Team Spirit53c2,057$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.244949%24 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee32…c685backed Team Yandex1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Yandex52c1,914$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00033850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Yandex38c1,806$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.7973841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Yandex43c1,697$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7291,89447.7%903 W · 991 L+6.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfadd…3955backed Team Yandex47c1,590$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.63844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3703…2795backed Team Yandex45c1,575$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.4915341.2%63 W · 90 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf801…901cbacked Team Yandex56c1,554$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.563834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex45c1,257$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.162,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf84e…6cbebacked Team Spirit50c1,169$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit52c1,064$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.5847660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Yandex60c793.59$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.1538049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdde9…f432backed Team Spirit56c529.29$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.297750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Yandex50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25055751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x009e…7974backed Team Yandex51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Team Spirit68c390$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.81457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Yandex47c373.79$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2823546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Spirit54c370.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9360646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed Team Yandex54c370.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007944.3%35 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Yandex32c335.17$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.252,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Team Yandex38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11469235.3%244 W · 448 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a94…5e99backed Team Yandex54c295.29$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.36159%36 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Yandex51c291.55$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6957355.5%318 W · 255 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x936f…7f75backed Team Spirit57c271.47$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.875350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Team Spirit53c252.14$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.1426957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x563b…774bbacked Team Yandex54c241.41$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.364060%24 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Team Yandex60c240$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1443467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…8229backed Team Yandex41c239.61$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.533743.6%147 W · 190 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad7…d2fdbacked Team Yandex48c224.9$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe2d…77b4backed Team Yandex48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.254757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d31…07b0backed Team Spirit52c196.88$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.525255.2%139 W · 113 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Yandex31c194.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6062650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Team Spirit52c182.69$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6972154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Team Yandex54c177.28$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7354445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf4…181ebacked Team Yandex60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010770.1%75 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Yandex60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033645.5%153 W · 183 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4f…5459backed Team Spirit53c160.38$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3811051.8%57 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Team Yandex42c155.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.414142.6%60 W · 81 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4566…8063backed Team Spirit54c140$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643476.5%26 W · 8 L+6.6wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+41%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed Team Yandex55c136.85$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511845.8%54 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Spirit48c134.7$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7537745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit57c133.88$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7980443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Yandex52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.880742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Team Spirit64c111.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6248352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10f9…5a03backed Team Yandex55c110.42$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.731631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-42.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Team Spirit53c105$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7513733.6%46 W · 91 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4ee…a2b3backed Team Yandex53c94.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc52f…0981backed Team Yandex60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Yandex44c80.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6245061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8986…b357backed Team Yandex60c80$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Team Yandex43c77.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5453533.8%181 W · 354 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed Team Yandex58c76.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.517149.7%85 W · 86 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e0…9c9fbacked Team Spirit47c75.73$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.382245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbc8…d266backed Team Spirit53c71.48$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.245844.8%26 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-22.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Team Spirit51c71.07$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3563032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed Team Yandex60c68.85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.311931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d4c…433dbacked Team Spirit73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491030%3 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick57cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Team Yandex38c68.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8195841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58ac…7e1fbacked Team Yandex49c61.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309836.7%36 W · 62 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked Team Yandex42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522654.4%123 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb24f…3432backed Team Spirit51c59.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2313742.3%58 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f87…91b8backed Team Yandex34c58.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Team Yandex46c52.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.98955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Team Yandex49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.58440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Yandex50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9153757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b2b…51c2backed Team Spirit50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Team Yandex50c49.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7411348.7%55 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…a506backed Team Yandex79c49.16$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.893237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61d9…e0cebacked Team Yandex22c47.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.686150.8%31 W · 30 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x101f…b386backed Team Spirit49c46.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9732154.8%176 W · 145 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked Team Yandex48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019443.3%84 W · 110 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e7f…6d97backed Team Spirit49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.825839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Spirit34c36.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.151,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf82…6c06backed Team Yandex50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155927.1%16 W · 43 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-30.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Team Spirit51c24.91$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.093839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba10…e85ebacked Team Spirit53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.42147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b5…6d52backed Team Spirit69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.24146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.