TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,586
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,586 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9949…15adbacked Team Spirit44c6,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3601100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Team Spirit45c5,741$2,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,161.319148.7%93 W · 98 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Yandex55c5,586$3,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,071.7513155%72 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Yandex43c3,617$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.9933850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Team Yandex42c3,296$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.8133644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit68c2,911$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.9599844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79fb…93adbacked Team Yandex56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55f0…0bcdbacked Team Yandex56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf72e…ef20backed Team Yandex56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf84e…6cbebacked Team Spirit60c1,795$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.3560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Spirit59c1,732$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.173841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex24c1,536$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.3885851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Team Spirit76c1,315$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9314648.6%71 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aac…e4e2backed Team Spirit43c1,183$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.315100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3db2…c483backed Team Spirit43c1,170$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d07…a32cbacked Team Spirit42c1,034$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c5…42a0backed Team Spirit43c981.99$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.743100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ac7…9f7dbacked Team Spirit43c952$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x840b…9e81backed Team Yandex55c943$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit74c901.05$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.0547660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…bd77backed Team Spirit44c900$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5043100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6de…6c62backed Team Yandex57c799$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9160…de3dbacked Team Yandex32c783.28$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011534.8%40 W · 75 L-14.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xebc3…4c89backed Team Spirit44c771$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7d7…44a6backed Team Spirit44c751$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.564100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+76.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team Yandex39c744$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.7430138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf243…5fb4backed Team Spirit74c741.64$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.834949%24 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca8…e1d1backed Team Spirit44c716$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick55cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x511f…61dabacked Team Yandex57c663$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.91837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-36.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d98…35e4backed Team Spirit44c639$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe197…a4cebacked Team Yandex57c625$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb6a…e565backed Team Spirit44c615$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcff9…79eabacked Team Yandex57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x462b…7b02backed Team Spirit45c583$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Team Yandex52c572.6$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30041655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcf…4b45backed Team Yandex56c540$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d63…0e2bbacked Team Yandex58c535$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Team Yandex29c525.96$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1114142.6%60 W · 81 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex26c521.89$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.811,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x665e…b053backed Team Yandex57c520$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit44c508.75$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.482,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfadd…3955backed Team Spirit47c507.63$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.043844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Team Spirit43c499.92$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.967835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11c5…fcacbacked Team Yandex58c499$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Spirit80c411.22$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4823546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Team Yandex57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5587645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d71…b752backed Team Yandex56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…93c6backed Team Yandex56c390$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Team Yandex45c373.8$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3833541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4bb…7462backed Team Yandex56c371$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+122.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0672…5763backed Team Yandex57c371$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaee8…01b2backed Team Yandex56c361$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff1…99d2backed Team Yandex56c360$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d28…7ee5backed Team Spirit45c360$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+77.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x493b…1541backed Team Yandex56c360$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fc…122ebacked Team Yandex57c357$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea5c…87b1backed Team Yandex56c356$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…5e8cbacked Team Yandex57c352$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Team Yandex57c349.98$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.496936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a71…0bf3backed Team Yandex56c339$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Team Yandex39c334$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.269145.1%41 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46dd…fd2abacked Team Yandex56c315$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid+33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Team Yandex49c313.2$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.932924.1%7 W · 22 L-8.0wins-0.28per pick52cpaid-58.3%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Team Yandex3c307$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.059423.4%22 W · 72 L+0.3wins0.00per pick23cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1319…5b8cbacked Team Yandex56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b0…9a0fbacked Team Yandex56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1d6…28bfbacked Team Yandex8c274.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Team Spirit48c273.8$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.384146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Team Yandex58c269.69$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.233441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked Team Spirit42c264.9$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.6416155.3%89 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Team Spirit45c251.09$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.094450%22 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Team Spirit43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5615250%76 W · 76 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x101f…b386backed Team Spirit73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4832154.8%176 W · 145 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Team Yandex56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11225639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Team Yandex55c199.98$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9920838.9%81 W · 127 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Team Spirit42c176.83$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.612843.8%56 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Team Yandex57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x764f…846ebacked Team Yandex58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed Team Spirit47c145.27$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6814039.3%55 W · 85 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Team Spirit74c134.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.768061.3%49 W · 31 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed Team Yandex58c131.03$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7611845.8%54 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Team Yandex57c124.96$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.233056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Team Yandex25c110.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7214940.9%61 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x730e…fca0backed Team Yandex20c108.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8220535.1%72 W · 133 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd8…a5bebacked Team Yandex29c106.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120339.9%81 W · 122 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Team Yandex55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5513657.4%78 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e32…6e95backed Team Yandex15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154717%8 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2ae…fbf2backed Team Spirit46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Team Yandex26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264223.8%10 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Team Yandex24c91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3916835.7%60 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdec…a7a3backed Team Yandex18c85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f78…b642backed Team Spirit46c85$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.95825.9%15 W · 43 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit75c84.5$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.971,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbfe…5247backed Team Spirit64c77.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.781942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68ec…70a5backed Team Spirit75c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.75757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit60c74.4$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.092,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Spirit45c70.88$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.852,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Team Yandex58c67.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2323347.2%110 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe35e…20e7backed Team Yandex25c50.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.71957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4287…3d5ebacked Team Spirit45c50.81$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.098342.2%35 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.