TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nemigaof Nemiga, TDK
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,743
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,743 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked TDK20c27,297$5,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,471.793,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5df…be66backed Nemiga67c6,364$4,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.621154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Nemiga67c2,427$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.7641847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x586a…6610backed Nemiga67c2,020$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.031553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed TDK24c1,371$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.4316347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Nemiga70c1,260$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.2649850.2%250 W · 248 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed TDK35c1,208$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.2125634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked TDK47c1,200$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.061,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked TDK48c1,157$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55040148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga71c1,061$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.65,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Nemiga65c1,025$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.0983543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed Nemiga54c976.93$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.238540%34 W · 51 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed TDK34c973.62$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.34,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf868…3b45backed TDK47c937.84$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.7911841.5%49 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed TDK3c875$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301080.9%1 W · 107 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked TDK47c724$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9225944.8%116 W · 143 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked TDK44c687.64$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.567948.1%38 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3afb…0004backed TDK36c569.49$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.943151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed TDK45c567.97$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.021,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed TDK46c541.37$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25044244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa24a…8382backed Nemiga67c535.2$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9414248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TDK42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ab…20e9backed TDK48c463.29$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.3814048.6%68 W · 72 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked TDK46c448.11$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.7755843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Nemiga68c446.84$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8459343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked TDK43c423.3$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.0247147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TDK47c420.46$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.247,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Nemiga54c420.26$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.22,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Nemiga66c392.31$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.3116146%74 W · 87 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed TDK8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga71c352.04$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.934,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Nemiga70c328.41$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4115441.6%64 W · 90 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed Nemiga64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.512871.9%92 W · 36 L+16.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+20.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfda7…8136backed Nemiga65c286.65$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.891384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick64cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked TDK45c273.43$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.072,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked TDK44c243.97$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3515044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aaa…040abacked TDK49c230.31$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.851020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga66c220.61$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.996,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x341c…f86fbacked TDK46c217.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked Nemiga72c208.25$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.311,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked TDK45c207.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.652,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac89…3783backed TDK46c203.23$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.493548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Nemiga67c201.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.114,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ed…5dc7backed TDK45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked TDK47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Nemiga55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9024942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Nemiga66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6849143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked Nemiga66c190.91$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9121653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed Nemiga66c189.47$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.914443.1%62 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0275…d186backed Nemiga56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.575058%29 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe123…b4ffbacked Nemiga66c165.91$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.418548.2%41 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked TDK46c165.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.814837.5%18 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed TDK43c163.79$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716428.1%18 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cbb…75a1backed Nemiga71c160.62$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0214339.9%57 W · 86 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a6b…66b6backed TDK45c155$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.754450%22 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga56c152.8$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.382,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Nemiga65c141.68$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.521,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3f1…5ea0backed TDK49c139.76$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.179252.2%48 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga61c129.58$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.924,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed TDK41c128.59$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.471,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x1b2b…51c2backed Nemiga63c120$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.83148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed TDK34c111.72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5517756.5%100 W · 77 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed TDK47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.71,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8772…982dbacked Nemiga56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1413753.3%73 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked Nemiga63c104.31$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.436434.1%124 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked TDK44c101.26$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.411,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3092…789abacked Nemiga75c100.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.475149%25 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Nemiga71c98.6$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.339842.9%42 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe275…2450backed TDK44c90$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.48235.4%29 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c4b…fcaebacked Nemiga65c89.67$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.056100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed Nemiga55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3624840.7%101 W · 147 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed TDK37c79.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5912538.4%48 W · 77 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x941f…35c6backed Nemiga57c78.95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.951560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked TDK42c76.8$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.63,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3724…c59abacked TDK45c73.96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.959732%31 W · 66 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc245…731dbacked TDK32c73.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5900…45ebbacked Nemiga55c73.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.14856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked TDK37c71.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5118736.9%69 W · 118 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1661…4b37backed TDK39c68.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.637349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed TDK47c58.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6120046%92 W · 108 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked TDK46c57.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3278963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Nemiga57c55.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.066654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked TDK43c55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4528657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c29…fb0bbacked TDK47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-56%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96c5…1f41backed TDK38c48.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f3e…6b69backed Nemiga67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.789568.4%65 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed TDK47c44.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.531,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked Nemiga63c43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.915655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed Nemiga63c43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9112948.1%62 W · 67 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f18…ae1fbacked Nemiga63c40.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.893470.6%24 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked TDK47c39.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.781,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3ad…87cdbacked Nemiga66c38.8$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked TDK34c38.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9427452.2%143 W · 131 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f05…eeb3backed TDK40c37.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.898365.1%54 W · 29 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick73cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked TDK42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1537140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b5…56abbacked TDK35c35.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.153060%18 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f9…c50bbacked Nemiga75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb06b…c1e1backed Nemiga56c29.27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.883770.3%26 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Nemiga57c25.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.231,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed TDK43c25.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.912,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.