CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31d4e410e5ba79bdc21d2aa30dfcc9a2b53aa4645510834a4d2e5d47bce49230
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TDK | 42c | 4,489$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.28 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Nemiga | 58c | 1,275$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.68 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Nemiga | 62c | 946.98$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.85 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked TDK | 49c | 813.7$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed TDK | 39c | 737.33$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.6 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x586a…6610backed Nemiga | 53c | 690.59$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.38 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga | 63c | 639.7$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.78 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Nemiga | 54c | 499.97$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked TDK | 47c | 492.67$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.38 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be66backed Nemiga | 54c | 465$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed Nemiga | 57c | 393$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.99 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Nemiga | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 128 | 71.9%92 W · 36 L | +16.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga | 56c | 283.47$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nemiga | 67c | 249.23$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Nemiga | 60c | 237.62$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nemiga | 51c | 234$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.03 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga | 57c | 186.16$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed TDK | 54c | 185.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga | 58c | 167.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…166abacked Nemiga | 76c | 155.64$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga | 50c | 148.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed TDK | 38c | 126.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed TDK | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 83 | 22.9%19 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Nemiga | 56c | 112.24$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TDK | 43c | 110.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked TDK | 56c | 104.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed TDK | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Nemiga | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…1dd3backed TDK | 45c | 95.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed Nemiga | 59c | 89.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7478…6b73backed Nemiga | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked TDK | 50c | 79.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Nemiga | 80c | 79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Nemiga | 58c | 78.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TDK | 53c | 63.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Nemiga | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Nemiga | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Nemiga | 51c | 53.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Nemiga | 58c | 51.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…e0c9backed TDK | 43c | 50.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked TDK | 38c | 45.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…76eabacked TDK | 39c | 38.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed TDK | 48c | 36.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed TDK | 42c | 36.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Nemiga | 57c | 35.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed TDK | 47c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Nemiga | 46c | 28.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Nemiga | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Nemiga | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…bf0cbacked Nemiga | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Nemiga | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs TDK (+1.5)Nemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.