Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x090a182ce3c003ffe2767480f504855359928db16b321d1def8a47765d3144ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Team Lynx, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5021…18a6backed Team Lynx | 0c | 7,227$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…a444backed Team Lynx | 2c | 5,075$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.97 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Lynx | 23c | 2,846$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.36 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Team Lynx | 17c | 2,188$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.65 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Lynx | 28c | 1,867$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.73 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Team Lynx | 27c | 1,748$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.45 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,596$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.21 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Lynx | 38c | 1,531$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.37 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…6469backed Team Lynx | 22c | 1,439$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Lynx | 26c | 1,292$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.38 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Lynx | 1c | 1,265$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Lynx | 12c | 1,200$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Lynx | 25c | 1,187$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 1,178$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.51 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Team Lynx | 19c | 1,027$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.71 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Lynx | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Lynx | 25c | 942.73$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.2 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Team Lynx | 32c | 925.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Lynx | 13c | 912.95$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.62 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 892.93$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.43 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 781$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Team Lynx | 34c | 736.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Team Lynx | 21c | 583.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 578.49$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.78 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Lynx | 5c | 551.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 535.1$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Team Lynx | 38c | 531.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe352…12fcbacked Team Lynx | 36c | 529.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1425backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 529.55$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 520.12$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.28 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Lynx | 38c | 510.77$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.77 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Team Lynx | 38c | 492.11$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…7181backed Team Lynx | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 26cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…c8b7backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 444.58$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 442.74$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.89 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b97…ceb9backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 441.55$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Team Lynx | 31c | 399.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Team Lynx | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…630dbacked Team Lynx | 38c | 360.95$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d1…73d5backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 358.8$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…ad17backed Team Lynx | 20c | 350.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Team Lynx | 23c | 344.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 336.04$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 334.99$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Team Lynx | 11c | 333.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 308.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.71 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Lynx | 36c | 281.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Team Lynx | 4c | 269.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 268.88$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Team Lynx | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 250.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Team Lynx | 17c | 243.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Lynx | 16c | 239.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Team Lynx | 41c | 216.17$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Team Lynx | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…d5d7backed Team Lynx | 7c | 207.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Team Lynx | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Team Lynx | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d1debacked Team Lynx | 28c | 185.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Team Lynx | 33c | 184.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 159.38$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 153.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…28f7backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 151.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…a571backed Team Lynx | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b30…a315backed Team Lynx | 14c | 144.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebb…1f99backed Team Lynx | 21c | 142.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Lynx | 18c | 130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Team Lynx | 11c | 122$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Team Lynx | 11c | 118.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…1e15backed Team Lynx | 22c | 118.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Team Lynx | 12c | 116.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Team Lynx | 22c | 113.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x802e…6c06backed Team Lynx | 38c | 111.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6755…d3cfbacked Team Lynx | 26c | 111$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 103.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c14…fa32backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Team Lynx | 24c | 99.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9fb0backed Team Lynx | 11c | 95.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0b…beb2backed Team Lynx | 11c | 93.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7070…bd47backed Team Lynx | 38c | 92.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…d102backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc06c…2a86backed Team Lynx | 23c | 86.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Lynx | 18c | 85.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Team Lynx | 21c | 83.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Team Lynx | 29c | 81.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9f…bcbebacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 81.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Team Lynx | 37c | 79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d4…b96cbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 75.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…7864backed Team Lynx | 45c | 74.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Team Lynx | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa451…b40dbacked Team Lynx | 28c | 71.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53be…8b7fbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 70.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d35…8518backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6589…5e90backed Team Lynx | 31c | 63.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b99…eda5backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 58.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfd…2f8ebacked Team Lynx | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…5ee8backed Team Lynx | 20c | 52.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Natus Vincere (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.