NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe998536977a6620f69376db320461b0dcdf0b373dd2616500b50f2c4d016be76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $566,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $613,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $566,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,027 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Rockets | 64c | 75,476$48,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,239.61 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…92f8backed Rockets | 57c | 55,858$31,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,268.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Magic | 44c | 51,967$22,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,718.89 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Magic | 40c | 42,766$17,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,198.88 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Magic | 44c | 40,892$18,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,099.35 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 37c | 29,518$10,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,853.92 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Rockets | 52c | 20,699$10,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,932.34 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Rockets | 57c | 19,261$10,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,351.12 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Rockets | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 45c | 9,319$4,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,149.38 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Rockets | 55c | 7,285$3,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.35 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Rockets | 56c | 6,272$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.68 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Magic | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Rockets | 58c | 5,394$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.76 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Magic | 46c | 5,370$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.55 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Magic | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Rockets | 55c | 4,810$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.54 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Magic | 45c | 4,462$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.59 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Magic | 53c | 4,175$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.87 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 2c | 4,150$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…239abacked Magic | 41c | 4,058$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Rockets | 51c | 4,039$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.65 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 40c | 3,820$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.89 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 44c | 3,795$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.26 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Rockets | 55c | 3,366$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.73 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Rockets | 56c | 3,071$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.23 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Magic | 1c | 3,050$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed Magic | 44c | 2,792$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Magic | 45c | 2,585$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.58 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Rockets | 53c | 2,558$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.66 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Rockets | 55c | 2,502$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Magic | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Rockets | 57c | 2,454$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.34 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Magic | 37c | 2,432$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Magic | 42c | 2,411$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.35 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Magic | 1c | 2,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 1c | 2,247$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Rockets | 45c | 2,223$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.78 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Rockets | 57c | 2,122$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.35 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…8f6bbacked Rockets | 51c | 2,069$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.73 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.22 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Magic | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Magic | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.9 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Magic | 42c | 1,850$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.97 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Rockets | 61c | 1,818$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.19 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Magic | 44c | 1,810$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.19 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rockets | 57c | 1,702$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.97 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfa…f559backed Rockets | 58c | 1,700$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c5…720fbacked Magic | 42c | 1,700$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Rockets | 66c | 1,675$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.5 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 46c | 1,637$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.6 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Rockets | 50c | 1,586$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.88 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Magic | 1c | 1,502$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc6…bef1backed Magic | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…eefdbacked Magic | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rockets | 56c | 1,470$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.8 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…323cbacked Rockets | 55c | 1,454$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.37 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic | 44c | 1,403$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.25 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 46c | 1,336$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.88 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac7…2e33backed Rockets | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…4602backed Magic | 44c | 1,290$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.62 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Rockets | 56c | 1,200$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.98 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Magic | 43c | 1,132$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.87 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…5a81backed Rockets | 45c | 1,102$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.17 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Rockets | 58c | 1,063$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.87 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rockets | 64c | 1,023$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.46 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Rockets | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Rockets | 57c | 1,000$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockets | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Magic | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Magic | 41c | 968.11$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.93 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Magic | 36c | 947.32$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.04 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Rockets | 70c | 915.77$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.73 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Magic | 43c | 912$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.54 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…ac82backed Rockets | 53c | 910$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Rockets | 57c | 900$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Magic | 42c | 884.6$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.52 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Rockets | 47c | 874.47$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.47 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic | 43c | 868$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.24 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Magic | 36c | 867.44$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.13 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 43c | 859.2$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.46 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rockets | 56c | 836.83$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.83 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Rockets | 57c | 800$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Rockets | 56c | 799.97$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe628…1595backed Rockets | 59c | 799.49$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Magic | 42c | 794.95$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.88 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Rockets | 59c | 738.66$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.85 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Rockets | 68c | 736.01$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.01 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Magic | 39c | 711.57$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.36 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rockets | 55c | 629.09$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.09 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Magic | 54c | 601.13$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Rockets | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Rockets | 59c | 580.49$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Magic | 45c | 579.54$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.79 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Magic | 38c | 548$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.46 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Magic | 46c | 545.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Rockets | 57c | 526.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…fbe9backed Rockets | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Magic | 4c | 501.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rockets | 60c | 500.6$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.2 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.