Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO5) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07a0b9c29d0edb29e8edb9018b283233eff82e3ad4ed3448218e1d417c8a3a6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 8,843$4,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,909.37 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Aurora | 44c | 8,083$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,512.63 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Aurora | 25c | 6,994$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,233.9 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 44c | 6,985$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,886.5 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Team Spirit | 65c | 5,814$3,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Aurora | 70c | 5,565$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.02 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora | 21c | 4,703$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.47 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked Team Spirit | 75c | 4,442$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.19 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 3,930$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.7 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Aurora | 32c | 3,594$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.46 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Aurora | 45c | 3,540$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Aurora | 25c | 3,259$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.79 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 3,093$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Aurora | 45c | 2,548$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.91 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 2,456$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.33 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 1,856$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.37 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Aurora | 43c | 1,830$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.37 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed Team Spirit | 37c | 1,376$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed Team Spirit | 70c | 1,272$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.53 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Aurora | 34c | 1,262$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.48 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Spirit | 32c | 1,260$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.1 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…6333backed Aurora | 40c | 1,245$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Team Spirit | 32c | 1,205$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.17 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Spirit | 57c | 1,050$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.5 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 54c | 1,029$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.65 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Spirit | 80c | 1,005$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Aurora | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Spirit | 57c | 904.29$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.51 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Team Spirit | 59c | 850.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b3…5dabbacked Aurora | 40c | 829.07$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked Team Spirit | 5c | 800$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…e0f6backed Team Spirit | 5c | 800$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Aurora | 29c | 710.73$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.31 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02e…8fb2backed Aurora | 44c | 671$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…be27backed Team Spirit | 42c | 645.46$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.09 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Aurora | 48c | 623.97$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.42 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Aurora | 58c | 621.62$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.36 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc847…262fbacked Team Spirit | 10c | 616.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…e009backed Team Spirit | 7c | 600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 44c | 574.08$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.49 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed Aurora | 64c | 557.88$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.27 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…b254backed Team Spirit | 77c | 555$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…d0a9backed Team Spirit | 71c | 526.25$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Spirit | 55c | 525.04$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.3 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Aurora | 78c | 521.91$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.67 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Team Spirit | 58c | 517.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…61d8backed Team Spirit | 76c | 516.27$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Aurora | 19c | 503.08$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.28 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Aurora | 42c | 470.24$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.74 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f02…1395backed Aurora | 43c | 466$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8413…652dbacked Aurora | 44c | 458.57$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Aurora | 30c | 430.6$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.36 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 408.12$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.49 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Spirit | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Team Spirit | 7c | 400$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed Aurora | 38c | 390.65$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.05 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Aurora | 29c | 382.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.6 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Aurora | 38c | 372$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.38 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Aurora | 22c | 371.71$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.14 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Aurora | 40c | 363.34$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.33 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Spirit | 59c | 360.88$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.9 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Team Spirit | 56c | 356.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf264…9e0fbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 351.77$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Aurora | 59c | 339.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.44 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c2…1c20backed Aurora | 31c | 324.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.03 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…ecabbacked Aurora | 29c | 306.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.59 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Aurora | 31c | 301.53$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.17 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Aurora | 42c | 258.7$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.38 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Aurora | 63c | 247.94$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.22 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Aurora | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Spirit | 54c | 222$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Aurora | 28c | 217.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.02 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Team Spirit | 75c | 215$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.25 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Team Spirit | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Aurora | 79c | 196$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Spirit | 62c | 194.64$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 190.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 188.77$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 184.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf739…a435backed Team Spirit | 75c | 184$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed Team Spirit | 34c | 183.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Team Spirit | 75c | 170$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 67cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Aurora | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…55cabacked Team Spirit | 18c | 152.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Aurora | 39c | 150.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2d…77b4backed Team Spirit | 55c | 145.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Team Spirit | 52c | 145$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Team Spirit | 23c | 140$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Aurora | 48c | 122.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Aurora | 49c | 119.44$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Team Spirit | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Spirit | 73c | 113.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Aurora | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Aurora | 46c | 110.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Spirit | 55c | 108.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Team Spirit | 56c | 106.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 106.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…409bbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 103.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa973…9b4dbacked Aurora | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO5) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.