TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
1winof Virtus.pro, 1win
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,053
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,053 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x24d8…e8a8backed 1win43c11,606$5,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,600.582568%17 W · 8 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+50.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 1win33c6,110$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,113.052,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed 1win38c2,815$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.241952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Virtus.pro65c2,700$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75541055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked 1win25c2,405$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.671,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Virtus.pro68c2,196$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013558.5%79 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked 1win11c1,833$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.0138049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Virtus.pro58c1,721$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed 1win20c1,681$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.7346535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Virtus.pro63c1,509$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.8211253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Virtus.pro62c1,357$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.8319943.2%86 W · 113 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Virtus.pro62c1,200$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74449133.6%165 W · 326 L+1.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed 1win42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.1956848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Virtus.pro56c1,050$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.8886949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…fe28backed Virtus.pro2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20120%0 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Virtus.pro33c929.24$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.737935.4%28 W · 51 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9be…8b35backed Virtus.pro52c811.14$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.048349.4%41 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Virtus.pro63c791.78$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012851.6%66 W · 62 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Virtus.pro59c700$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41399844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed 1win39c644.79$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.2857455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed 1win35c633.57$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.8234561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…dd30backed 1win73c620.39$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.454100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+142.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3798…27fabacked Virtus.pro2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122015%3 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick5cpaid+100%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Virtus.pro57c589.19$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.5258152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed 1win36c547.32$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.287152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Virtus.pro58c539.76$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.0618661.8%115 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed 1win39c522.49$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.739447.9%45 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked 1win35c499.99$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.998223.2%19 W · 63 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Virtus.pro42c499$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5859250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Virtus.pro62c483.95$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Virtus.pro62c479.63$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.4419147.6%91 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed 1win38c470$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.48137%30 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Virtus.pro59c450$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.545046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Virtus.pro47c425.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016149.7%80 W · 81 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed 1win58c418.28$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.852243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Virtus.pro67c378.77$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.6562650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed 1win36c373.19$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24014537.2%54 W · 91 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed 1win42c361.71$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.7954445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Virtus.pro58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017251.2%88 W · 84 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed 1win38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1863043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0f3…1495backed Virtus.pro36c254$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Virtus.pro45c238$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.117342.8%74 W · 99 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed 1win55c238$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.167853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Virtus.pro60c236.67$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1428543.5%37 W · 48 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Virtus.pro62c236.66$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7313346.6%62 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Virtus.pro43c228.77$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8142145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked 1win33c226.74$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.722740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcc…7a11backed Virtus.pro42c221.14$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8840%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Virtus.pro13c208.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.83561.8%1 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-77%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Virtus.pro57c201$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.578648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed 1win36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12820838.9%81 W · 127 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Virtus.pro29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5864123.4%150 W · 491 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked 1win15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick9cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Virtus.pro58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11661548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a05…4c5abacked Virtus.pro63c194.44$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.59478.7%74 W · 20 L+13.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+20.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Virtus.pro34c188.16$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1665625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed 1win41c182.86$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8622534.2%77 W · 148 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f5d…539cbacked 1win38c171.16$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.12850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe81c…a724backed Virtus.pro62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Virtus.pro62c159.53$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9133644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…0338backed Virtus.pro63c158.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.946963.8%44 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Virtus.pro57c157.34$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0812720.5%26 W · 101 L-22.6wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-62.9%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro61c149.19$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.011,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Virtus.pro70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014648.6%71 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef35…c333backed Virtus.pro71c140.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007460.8%45 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed 1win58c119.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6710456.7%59 W · 45 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked 1win22c105.06$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2277458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed Virtus.pro64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6429550.2%148 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb027…888fbacked Virtus.pro47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472020%4 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-59.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x42c1…e644backed 1win50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked 1win57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4318649.5%92 W · 94 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Virtus.pro61c95.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9820046%92 W · 108 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2806…6de8backed Virtus.pro37c94.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511344.2%50 W · 63 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed 1win15c87.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.483212.5%4 W · 28 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fbb…4db6backed 1win40c86.23$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Virtus.pro56c79.14$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3270236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Virtus.pro27c73.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043647.5%207 W · 229 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5fc…d802backed 1win43c69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.331127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick11cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x842b…b366backed Virtus.pro59c55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed 1win58c51.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6754753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4eb…6b31backed Virtus.pro65c51.02$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.161442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bf…ceeabacked 1win36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2d4…b96cbacked Virtus.pro43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207048.6%34 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9c0…c6f9backed 1win61c46.18$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.181163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Virtus.pro44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc393…590abacked Virtus.pro46c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7823849.6%118 W · 120 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bec…3cd1backed Virtus.pro28c42.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9180%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x302b…4ae2backed Virtus.pro61c40.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Virtus.pro32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.833945.1%153 W · 186 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aab…685dbacked Virtus.pro62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Virtus.pro60c38.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2313557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed Virtus.pro64c36.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.621330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ea…46f5backed 1win40c34.71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55e…a07abacked Virtus.pro60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Virtus.pro46c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1463032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Virtus.pro61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e0…9c9fbacked 1win51c31.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.22245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a60…a571backed 1win34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.82330.4%7 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Virtus.pro59c26.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8535758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd953…3d97backed Virtus.pro40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.