Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x613088ac4b1a4023d60c19e83829278f40bab75d1575cc2a0bf03acf4e1be6aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team Liquid | 49c | 4,000$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.99 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 2,300$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Yandex | 54c | 2,163$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.79 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed Team Yandex | 59c | 1,896$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.49 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Yandex | 55c | 1,529$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.35 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Team Yandex | 51c | 1,496$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.8 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Liquid | 52c | 1,220$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.21 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex | 55c | 1,208$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.59 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Yandex | 56c | 1,183$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.6 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex | 51c | 1,067$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.96 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Liquid | 49c | 1,031$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Liquid | 56c | 625$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Liquid | 49c | 529.88$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.22 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Yandex | 72c | 429.13$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Team Liquid | 38c | 306.45$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.31 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009e…7974backed Team Liquid | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c2…1c20backed Team Liquid | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…bb2fbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 268.69$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Team Yandex | 32c | 232.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Team Yandex | 74c | 223.69$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 223.24$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.62 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb14a…4254backed Team Liquid | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Team Liquid | 41c | 219.66$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked Team Yandex | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 205.02$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.27 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 193.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Yandex | 45c | 175.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 159.6$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Yandex | 55c | 149.6$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Yandex | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 50c | 132.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Team Liquid | 14c | 131.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…5b73backed Team Yandex | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Team Yandex | 58c | 103.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Team Liquid | 49c | 101.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Yandex | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Team Yandex | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9e…653ebacked Team Liquid | 66c | 81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Team Yandex | 68c | 73.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed Team Liquid | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Yandex | 57c | 62.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Yandex | 50c | 59.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed Team Liquid | 48c | 56.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…9c9fbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 45.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Team Liquid | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…be27backed Team Yandex | 57c | 39.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Team Yandex | 63c | 39.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc845…a0c7backed Team Liquid | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67fe…9859backed Team Liquid | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 PlayoffsTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- First Blood in Game 2?Team Yandex won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Yandex won
- Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 68.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 69.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.