NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbb52e393bfcd83fe710a477afd01bb660b575ae7c89fbca55b70c337dff0297
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $670,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $787,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $670,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 544 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Timberwolves | 74c | 73,165$54,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,971.55 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Timberwolves | 71c | 53,523$38,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,268.33 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Mavericks | 40c | 52,138$20,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,853.29 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…9b1cbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 51,061$31,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,649.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…e954backed Timberwolves | 60c | 24,349$14,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,748.49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Mavericks | 35c | 24,295$8,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,408.22 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Mavericks | 41c | 18,101$7,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,456.77 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Mavericks | 39c | 17,393$6,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,780.69 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Timberwolves | 73c | 16,965$12,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.29 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Mavericks | 38c | 15,225$5,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,786.2 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Timberwolves | 59c | 15,012$8,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,154.79 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Mavericks | 39c | 12,833$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.68 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6801…9726backed Timberwolves | 59c | 10,095$5,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,138.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Mavericks | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Timberwolves | 80c | 9,750$7,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.5 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Timberwolves | 61c | 8,195$5,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.95 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 67c | 8,033$5,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.13 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Mavericks | 38c | 7,991$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.75 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Mavericks | 39c | 7,920$3,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,088.8 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bc…51fdbacked Mavericks | 41c | 7,308$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Mavericks | 46c | 6,373$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.79 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Mavericks | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks | 37c | 4,882$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.02 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mavericks | 42c | 4,302$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.3 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Mavericks | 35c | 3,460$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.01 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 3,241$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.33 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Timberwolves | 64c | 2,870$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.29 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49cc…9385backed Timberwolves | 59c | 2,819$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3698…1580backed Mavericks | 41c | 2,700$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Mavericks | 39c | 2,450$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.5 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Mavericks | 1c | 2,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Timberwolves | 62c | 2,017$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.28 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Mavericks | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Timberwolves | 63c | 1,979$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.67 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…13f7backed Timberwolves | 64c | 1,925$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.86 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -6.9wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Timberwolves | 60c | 1,899$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.78 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mavericks | 23c | 1,792$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.21 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…d2ebbacked Mavericks | 40c | 1,672$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks | 5c | 1,659$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 1,580$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.15 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Timberwolves | 72c | 1,580$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.98 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Mavericks | 3c | 1,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 1,463$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.68 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616d…480cbacked Mavericks | 38c | 1,415$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Mavericks | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Mavericks | 37c | 1,351$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.27 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mavericks | 38c | 1,209$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.62 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Mavericks | 20c | 1,200$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Mavericks | 42c | 1,161$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.15 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Mavericks | 41c | 1,121$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.6 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…07d4backed Mavericks | 41c | 1,108$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Mavericks | 33c | 1,099$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.75 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Timberwolves | 68c | 1,082$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.96 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 40c | 1,000$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.91 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Timberwolves | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…231bbacked Mavericks | 3c | 999.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Mavericks | 40c | 992.48$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.7 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mavericks | 43c | 981.94$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.24 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Mavericks | 32c | 978.51$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.01 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Timberwolves | 53c | 928.9$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.7 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Timberwolves | 62c | 900.59$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.11 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Mavericks | 38c | 896$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.12 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Mavericks | 38c | 759.32$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.53 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mavericks | 2c | 708$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Mavericks | 41c | 651.95$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.3 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…cf2bbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 624.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Timberwolves | 57c | 621.43$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.22 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks | 34c | 609.24$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.33 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Mavericks | 24c | 583.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Mavericks | 18c | 570$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…d87abacked Timberwolves | 62c | 546.35$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…4340backed Mavericks | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Mavericks | 44c | 504.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.56 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…b538backed Mavericks | 7c | 500.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Timberwolves | 67c | 500$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.1 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…c572backed Timberwolves | 62c | 492.56$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Timberwolves | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…2162backed Mavericks | 32c | 471.88$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Timberwolves | 60c | 466.85$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.55 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea1…a2bbbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 458$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.36 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0aa…27c0backed Mavericks | 45c | 446.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aff…781abacked Timberwolves | 57c | 431.58$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Mavericks | 40c | 419.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Timberwolves | 60c | 417.12$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.85 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…df03backed Mavericks | 40c | 413.15$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Timberwolves | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Mavericks | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Mavericks | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2203…6f7bbacked Mavericks | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Timberwolves | 61c | 392.68$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.68 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…cd58backed Timberwolves | 62c | 380$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0279…e267backed Mavericks | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…16bfbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 365$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Mavericks | 43c | 362$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.66 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 353.54$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 173 | 63.6%110 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…2c77backed Timberwolves | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178a…1dabbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 344.16$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.