NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16b51b42f8f844b54d05ab9f55c05e5bdad093e53a3fc443dd6fa5f4ac7fff0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $396,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $454,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Raptors | 8c | 58,696$4,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Hawks | 68c | 33,616$22,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,850.3 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 29c | 26,357$7,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,732.27 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Raptors | 32c | 19,462$6,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,165.33 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors | 40c | 17,979$7,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,160.12 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…5624backed Hawks | 65c | 17,474$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,073.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 54c | 10,149$5,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,696.16 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Raptors | 48c | 9,781$4,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,742.8 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 40c | 6,895$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.29 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…42a4backed Hawks | 79c | 5,334$4,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.54 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Hawks | 52c | 5,175$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.94 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Hawks | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Hawks | 52c | 4,562$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.09 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Raptors | 49c | 4,000$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5df…b469backed Hawks | 74c | 3,909$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0939…9a00backed Hawks | 52c | 3,835$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Raptors | 29c | 3,466$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.69 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors | 47c | 3,218$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.01 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Hawks | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Raptors | 51c | 2,957$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Hawks | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 41c | 2,492$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.86 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raptors | 2c | 2,348$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…83f1backed Hawks | 52c | 2,101$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.01 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hawks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Hawks | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Raptors | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Raptors | 42c | 1,994$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.77 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Raptors | 33c | 1,691$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.04 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Raptors | 49c | 1,521$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.42 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Raptors | 26c | 1,462$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.67 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…19bcbacked Raptors | 9c | 1,344$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Hawks | 73c | 1,333$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.06 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Raptors | 41c | 1,328$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.23 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…32b3backed Hawks | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…6577backed Raptors | 49c | 1,300$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Hawks | 52c | 1,297$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Hawks | 78c | 1,271$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.57 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Raptors | 48c | 1,260$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.12 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0f…7305backed Hawks | 50c | 1,180$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ba…7f3cbacked Raptors | 49c | 1,180$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Hawks | 60c | 1,084$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.76 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…9147backed Hawks | 76c | 1,078$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Hawks | 56c | 1,076$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.12 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Raptors | 36c | 1,029$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.98 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Raptors | 45c | 1,013$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.55 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Raptors | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Raptors | 10c | 999.32$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.92 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…2a10backed Hawks | 50c | 982.16$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.37 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Raptors | 23c | 949.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.18 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hawks | 52c | 900$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Raptors | 48c | 841.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.34 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Hawks | 69c | 840.04$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.41 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raptors | 47c | 828.04$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.18 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Raptors | 40c | 800$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.72 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Raptors | 47c | 787.97$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.87 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…7094backed Hawks | 53c | 753.55$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Raptors | 3c | 718.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Hawks | 58c | 693.13$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.13 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Hawks | 55c | 682.93$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.93 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…1674backed Hawks | 53c | 655.9$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.83 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Raptors | 47c | 631.06$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.47 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hawks | 54c | 607.83$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.18 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Hawks | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Hawks | 54c | 599.98$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Hawks | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Raptors | 35c | 574.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3937…f693backed Hawks | 53c | 570.38$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Hawks | 52c | 528.26$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.9 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 35c | 511.58$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.96 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Hawks | 59c | 511.29$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.29 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Hawks | 73c | 505.86$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hawks | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Hawks | 52c | 500$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Hawks | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Raptors | 48c | 500$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…0080backed Raptors | 4c | 499.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Hawks | 49c | 497.84$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.9 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed Raptors | 49c | 496.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.42 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Raptors | 48c | 481.44$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.27 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…864fbacked Hawks | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Hawks | 53c | 474.44$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.99 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Hawks | 80c | 473.6$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Raptors | 49c | 465.31$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Hawks | 52c | 448$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.04 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0566…f2c8backed Hawks | 51c | 444$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8e2fbacked Raptors | 32c | 436.86$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Hawks | 56c | 422.56$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.3 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Raptors | 39c | 410$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.53 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…17d0backed Hawks | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Hawks | 63c | 398.97$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.18 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Hawks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Hawks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Raptors | 46c | 389.24$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.54 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Raptors | 15c | 387.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hawks | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Raptors | 47c | 372.37$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.44 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…7319backed Hawks | 56c | 367.16$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Raptors | 47c | 357.88$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.77 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.