NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4200566bf38f044f0391cceb65edc7ed6fc3c91d85995a4b7ef858f9a2f3a148
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $375,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $375,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 854 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Bucks | 36c | 27,346$9,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,444.97 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Pistons | 31c | 15,863$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.71 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…1ed9backed Bucks | 51c | 13,987$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,886.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Pistons | 61c | 12,645$7,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,742.03 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 34c | 12,532$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,285.64 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons | 58c | 11,764$6,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,791.75 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Bucks | 69c | 10,877$7,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.01 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pistons | 56c | 10,680$5,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,992.95 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Pistons | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Pistons | 26c | 9,200$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.76 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Bucks | 36c | 8,369$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,393.1 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Bucks | 56c | 7,769$4,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,438.02 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pistons | 39c | 6,485$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.06 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Bucks | 45c | 6,195$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.61 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bucks | 54c | 5,010$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.2 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pistons | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pistons | 61c | 4,846$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.3 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked Pistons | 67c | 4,319$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.92 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Pistons | 46c | 4,135$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.63 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Bucks | 80c | 3,896$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.24 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…f541backed Bucks | 36c | 3,768$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.91 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pistons | 62c | 3,300$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.86 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Bucks | 61c | 3,168$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.15 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Bucks | 61c | 3,070$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.77 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Bucks | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.95 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Pistons | 26c | 3,000$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.94 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pistons | 68c | 2,953$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Pistons | 57c | 2,624$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Bucks | 35c | 2,435$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.35 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 66c | 2,300$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.89 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Bucks | 35c | 2,217$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.45 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Bucks | 65c | 2,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pistons | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Pistons | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.98 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Pistons | 55c | 1,940$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Bucks | 52c | 1,875$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.75 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Pistons | 9c | 1,750$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.11 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Bucks | 48c | 1,674$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.31 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pistons | 66c | 1,618$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.32 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Bucks | 34c | 1,562$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.76 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Bucks | 53c | 1,514$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.78 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…9c9fbacked Bucks | 68c | 1,504$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.23 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Pistons | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…44c4backed Bucks | 34c | 1,467$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Pistons | 23c | 1,303$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.74 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…b2a6backed Bucks | 45c | 1,259$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.08 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Bucks | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.2 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pistons | 2c | 1,174$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc824…f574backed Pistons | 65c | 1,167$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons | 66c | 1,126$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.01 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Bucks | 39c | 1,100$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bucks | 33c | 1,031$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.01 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pistons | 63c | 1,031$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.21 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Pistons | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons | 54c | 1,000$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.47 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bucks | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Bucks | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Bucks | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Bucks | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Pistons | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fb…b3c6backed Bucks | 49c | 970.78$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Bucks | 45c | 928.9$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.43 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Bucks | 60c | 918.65$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.65 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Pistons | 65c | 914.59$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.63 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Pistons | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pistons | 64c | 892.4$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.52 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Pistons | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Bucks | 70c | 800.01$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.06 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons | 67c | 800$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pistons | 3c | 765$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Bucks | 53c | 739.68$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.65 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Pistons | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…721bbacked Pistons | 64c | 724$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.36 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Bucks | 32c | 700$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Bucks | 37c | 671.41$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.99 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Pistons | 51c | 666$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.66 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Bucks | 35c | 657.14$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.14 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Pistons | 67c | 599.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bucks | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Bucks | 80c | 562.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pistons | 65c | 562$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.3 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Pistons | 62c | 555.89$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.65 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Pistons | 66c | 504.36$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.88 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pistons | 61c | 500.69$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.96 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Bucks | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pistons | 42c | 500$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.78 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bucks | 33c | 499.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.98 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…4038backed Bucks | 65c | 498.8$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…79e0backed Pistons | 63c | 484.13$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5295…d666backed Bucks | 59c | 470.75$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Pistons | 61c | 454.74$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.71 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks | 45c | 449.05$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.82 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9a…8963backed Pistons | 67c | 448.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…e0fcbacked Bucks | 56c | 439.44$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Bucks | 34c | 439.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.03 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bucks | 56c | 428.36$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.22 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…5209backed Pistons | 66c | 427.27$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…4778backed Bucks | 35c | 426.69$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.35 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Bucks | 71c | 404.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.45 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Pistons | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.