Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37371a569836f10c3b6b9fed5ad5ae9b13bff5eb6740d1858b5f382aa9703568
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Nigma Galaxy, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 4,970$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.95 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Power Rangers | 40c | 3,019$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.2 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Power Rangers | 59c | 1,801$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.96 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Power Rangers | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.62 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Power Rangers | 38c | 999.99$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.49 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 881.67$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 650.77$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.47 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 571$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.73 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50d…cf54backed Power Rangers | 39c | 548.19$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 499.97$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Power Rangers | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Power Rangers | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 378.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 319.17$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.27 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 308.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 291.11$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 272.48$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.43 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Power Rangers | 39c | 257.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.09 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 224.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 221.1$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Power Rangers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 193.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 181.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…649fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 164$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked Power Rangers | 38c | 163.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…99d3backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 160.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 154.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Power Rangers | 51c | 152.15$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Power Rangers | 60c | 137.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.79 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Power Rangers | 36c | 134.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.83 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Power Rangers | 62c | 121.91$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 119.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…6831backed Power Rangers | 73c | 109.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Power Rangers | 62c | 109.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Power Rangers | 44c | 108.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Power Rangers | 37c | 92.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Power Rangers | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…41a7backed Power Rangers | 74c | 73.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Power Rangers | 41c | 73.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Power Rangers | 70c | 71.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffd…c2b4backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 69.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Power Rangers | 70c | 66.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3560backed Power Rangers | 61c | 65.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed Power Rangers | 67c | 53.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…a909backed Power Rangers | 39c | 50.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +159.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00db…4be2backed Power Rangers | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…9918backed Power Rangers | 66c | 48.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…b35bbacked Power Rangers | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 78%46 W · 13 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…3b0abacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 40.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…9c9fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 35.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Power Rangers | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 34.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9251…1fe5backed Power Rangers | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed Power Rangers | 65c | 30.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 29.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 27.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Power Rangers | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…8536backed Power Rangers | 63c | 24.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6760…3ad4backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…dee4backed Power Rangers | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers - Game 1 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.