Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x705efe53009dc3a4ed958d4526edd39b8ce9e73ffe23fec7bf676dee6d73ed90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Nigma Galaxy, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 849.48$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 818.21$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.47 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Power Rangers | 43c | 492.58$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.94 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Power Rangers | 47c | 404.97$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.98 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Power Rangers | 39c | 344.85$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.36 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Power Rangers | 48c | 340.42$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 213.95$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 150.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Power Rangers | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Power Rangers | 48c | 107.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Power Rangers | 44c | 102.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Power Rangers | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…32bebacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd697…661dbacked Power Rangers | 48c | 27.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Power Rangers | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Power Rangers | 61c | 18.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In PlayoffsPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.