Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e2e69416ab7ab732fea01c4e8599d4afac34019f915c9bd7f8c737a9b103530
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Spirit | 54c | 25,843$13,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,955.19 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Heroic | 46c | 25,145$11,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,497.33 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Spirit | 58c | 12,077$7,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,022.31 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Heroic | 46c | 10,000$4,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,429.9 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c0…4df0backed Heroic | 72c | 7,997$5,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Heroic | 41c | 7,000$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,129.99 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Spirit | 36c | 6,960$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.06 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Heroic | 37c | 4,800$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed Heroic | 47c | 3,338$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.71 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Team Spirit | 33c | 2,779$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.98 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 39c | 2,645$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.25 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 2,541$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.29 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…3532backed Team Spirit | 23c | 2,377$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.81 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 50c | 2,168$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.95 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Team Spirit | 23c | 2,143$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.57 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Spirit | 27c | 1,956$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.58 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Heroic | 54c | 1,827$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.79 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 1,787$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.75 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Team Spirit | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Heroic | 38c | 1,556$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.13 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 28c | 1,519$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.72 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Heroic | 49c | 1,499$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.25 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Heroic | 40c | 1,425$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.75 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…9160backed Heroic | 69c | 1,417$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Heroic | 37c | 1,405$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.1 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Heroic | 41c | 1,380$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.18 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Heroic | 38c | 1,358$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.81 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Heroic | 37c | 1,350$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.5 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Spirit | 25c | 1,330$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.25 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 1,300$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 1,300$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Heroic | 42c | 1,148$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.02 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed Team Spirit | 31c | 1,106$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.95 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 1,099$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.92 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…6255backed Heroic | 64c | 1,095$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.46 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Heroic | 44c | 1,058$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.83 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc60…ffaabacked Heroic | 40c | 999.85$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.91 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Team Spirit | 48c | 974.5$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.75 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit | 41c | 858.83$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.52 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Team Spirit | 60c | 830.78$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Team Spirit | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf927…94b5backed Team Spirit | 25c | 770.45$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Team Spirit | 59c | 761$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.99 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 56c | 760.38$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.13 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Heroic | 39c | 744.3$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.81 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Heroic | 38c | 736.48$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.25 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Spirit | 32c | 735.31$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Spirit | 31c | 700$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.15 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Heroic | 58c | 692.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.3 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Team Spirit | 8c | 675$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 50c | 624.44$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.5 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Heroic | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Spirit | 49c | 600$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.05 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Team Spirit | 47c | 599.99$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.71 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 24c | 593.86$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.83 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Heroic | 48c | 560$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.86 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Heroic | 76c | 557$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.1 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed Team Spirit | 39c | 549.63$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed Team Spirit | 59c | 529.62$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.18 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 526.17$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.44 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Spirit | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Heroic | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Spirit | 27c | 486.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.86 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Team Spirit | 62c | 464.52$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe2…5f33backed Heroic | 46c | 451.7$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Spirit | 20c | 444.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.81 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 412.48$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Team Spirit | 11c | 408.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Team Spirit | 25c | 406.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Team Spirit | 60c | 358$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.8 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…71c5backed Team Spirit | 60c | 350$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Team Spirit | 24c | 349.69$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.74 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…15d3backed Team Spirit | 64c | 313.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 310.96$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…bfebbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 302.9$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.67 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.76 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Heroic | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 296.6$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Heroic | 40c | 293.55$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.06 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Team Spirit | 53c | 288$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.78 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Heroic | 48c | 278.24$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.68 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Spirit | 43c | 272.35$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 61c | 268.07$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.31 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Team Spirit | 63c | 267.38$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.1 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed Team Spirit | 53c | 266.72$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.01 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Team Spirit | 48c | 266.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Team Spirit | 23c | 264$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Heroic | 50c | 255$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 253.16$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.17 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Heroic | 57c | 252.94$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.86 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit | 59c | 244.42$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.21 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Team Spirit | 59c | 233.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.28 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Heroic | 45c | 224.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.33 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff9d…af7cbacked Heroic | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Heroic | 46c | 215.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.51 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed Team Spirit | 42c | 210$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Team Spirit | 23c | 204.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…698bbacked Heroic | 38c | 200.12$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Spirit | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Team Spirit | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.