Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cfaa3d5ff16b6b5e8cd79d3b47720904a98f22348e07056e1f08733ddd3ca59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Team Liquid, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3f8…d904backed Team Liquid | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid | 43c | 4,672$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 3,907$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.64 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 1,363$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.13 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 1,314$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.8 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Liquid | 49c | 1,300$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.92 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Liquid | 40c | 1,298$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.58 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 937.38$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.23 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Team Liquid | 64c | 771.87$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.69 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 713.44$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.34 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 439.1$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.98 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 435.97$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.74 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 302.41$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.15 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Liquid | 22c | 240$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce6…030ebacked Team Liquid | 68c | 222.59$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.91 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Team Liquid | 57c | 162$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d5…1beabacked Team Liquid | 70c | 159.66$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…d5d7backed Team Liquid | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Team Liquid | 66c | 137.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Virtus.pro | 42c | 135.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c3…229cbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 132.8$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…d949backed Team Liquid | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…ce7fbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 116.37$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f36…43acbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 114.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 113.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Team Liquid | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Team Liquid | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118b…a358backed Team Liquid | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Team Liquid | 26c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9816…cc22backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 87.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Team Liquid | 24c | 80.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3827…e862backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 67.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Team Liquid | 71c | 62.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Team Liquid | 65c | 58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d41…966abacked Team Liquid | 48c | 55.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Team Liquid | 46c | 48.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Team Liquid | 69c | 39.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…9fcdbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…9c9fbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 37.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Team Liquid | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 26.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…bc3bbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
- Series: Most kills?Virtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.