CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x496591f8f651bb9c5e1db4fe76becc0a2bab60080a8857669331299ac14c1f8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddf3…a45bbacked 3DMAX | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Vitality | 69c | 21,777$15,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,769.1 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 3DMAX | 30c | 16,140$4,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870.56 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 3DMAX | 16c | 6,548$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.07 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 3DMAX | 16c | 6,027$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.74 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX | 15c | 2,974$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.02 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 3DMAX | 20c | 2,144$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.48 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed 3DMAX | 27c | 1,945$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.24 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed 3DMAX | 31c | 1,840$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.4 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked 3DMAX | 11c | 1,650$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.56 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked Vitality | 69c | 1,450$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.1 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…5377backed Vitality | 70c | 1,400$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed 3DMAX | 23c | 1,253$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked 3DMAX | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked 3DMAX | 32c | 900$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf77…f8fbbacked 3DMAX | 10c | 801.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +223.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed 3DMAX | 12c | 700$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Vitality | 72c | 607.79$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.79 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…1611backed 3DMAX | 3c | 550$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Vitality | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 3DMAX | 26c | 515$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.17 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 3DMAX | 30c | 508.64$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…63c0backed Vitality | 74c | 495.76$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Vitality | 72c | 443.61$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.21 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Vitality | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 538 | 59.3%319 W · 219 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked 3DMAX | 28c | 395$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked 3DMAX | 31c | 354.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed 3DMAX | 31c | 311.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Vitality | 77c | 305.19$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…1402backed Vitality | 73c | 272.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed 3DMAX | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed 3DMAX | 20c | 238.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed 3DMAX | 31c | 226.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Vitality | 76c | 222.81$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed 3DMAX | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Vitality | 70c | 205.01$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Vitality | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 3DMAX | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed 3DMAX | 31c | 199.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Vitality | 79c | 190.76$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed 3DMAX | 26c | 183.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX | 28c | 167$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Vitality | 67c | 166.82$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed 3DMAX | 25c | 144$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb24…d6cdbacked 3DMAX | 14c | 141.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…b307backed 3DMAX | 31c | 124.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked 3DMAX | 26c | 123.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Vitality | 68c | 121.07$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed 3DMAX | 26c | 119.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x185a…5104backed Vitality | 64c | 112$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 67 | 14.9%10 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…85bcbacked 3DMAX | 24c | 110$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…5038backed 3DMAX | 30c | 107.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…f345backed 3DMAX | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Vitality | 71c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Vitality | 78c | 79.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…05f2backed Vitality | 80c | 76.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 143 | 60.1%86 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed 3DMAX | 38c | 76.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vitality | 78c | 75.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed 3DMAX | 17c | 71.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed Vitality | 80c | 69.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 313 | 72.8%228 W · 85 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked 3DMAX | 17c | 66.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa886…822bbacked Vitality | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…0d66backed 3DMAX | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2a…e1cebacked Vitality | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd46…8a23backed 3DMAX | 31c | 55.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Vitality | 72c | 53.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Vitality | 72c | 50.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…9c9fbacked 3DMAX | 31c | 38.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed 3DMAX | 28c | 37.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Vitality | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked 3DMAX | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Vitality | 68c | 28.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked Vitality | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…f86ebacked Vitality | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Vitality | 70c | 19.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 3DMAX - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.