CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1bf4f40e0d72845e4c203ba32096f94d2e6451e346d4cffb4b07bbe249ac5f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed 3DMAX | 23c | 6,227$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.29 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f26…ea16backed Vitality | 79c | 4,920$3,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 3DMAX | 12c | 4,868$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.75 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 3DMAX | 8c | 4,206$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.84 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 3DMAX | 1c | 4,160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…0fe6backed Vitality | 76c | 3,250$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 3DMAX | 13c | 3,126$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.04 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed 3DMAX | 21c | 2,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed 3DMAX | 9c | 2,200$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed 3DMAX | 24c | 2,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed 3DMAX | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX | 20c | 1,602$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.66 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Vitality | 79c | 1,529$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.13 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked Vitality | 77c | 1,401$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.31 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX | 17c | 1,246$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.31 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…f43cbacked 3DMAX | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 3DMAX | 8c | 981.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed 3DMAX | 19c | 875.84$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.18 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Vitality | 77c | 844.16$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.16 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked 3DMAX | 13c | 818$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…966bbacked Vitality | 80c | 813.17$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.03 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de4…cd16backed Vitality | 77c | 653$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed Vitality | 78c | 623$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.06 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed 3DMAX | 21c | 592.5$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.43 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Vitality | 79c | 583.04$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.04 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Vitality | 78c | 568.15$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.99 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed Vitality | 80c | 563.38$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.37 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Vitality | 77c | 540.26$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.26 | 538 | 59.3%319 W · 219 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…de82backed Vitality | 78c | 479.99$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed 3DMAX | 3c | 430.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Vitality | 73c | 381.61$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…3a8cbacked 3DMAX | 6c | 359.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked 3DMAX | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…6b82backed Vitality | 77c | 218.79$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Vitality | 75c | 203.52$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked 3DMAX | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Vitality | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb268…5bb3backed 3DMAX | 13c | 199.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Vitality | 78c | 199.03$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c21…c02bbacked 3DMAX | 6c | 196.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Vitality | 76c | 182.73$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked 3DMAX | 8c | 148.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed 3DMAX | 15c | 147.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Vitality | 77c | 129.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…2475backed 3DMAX | 16c | 127.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…93f2backed Vitality | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 3DMAX | 15c | 107$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed 3DMAX | 24c | 104.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed 3DMAX | 24c | 102.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed 3DMAX | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Vitality | 80c | 83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed 3DMAX | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc744…f6d6backed Vitality | 79c | 56.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed Vitality | 79c | 54.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed 3DMAX | 30c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…b7c9backed 3DMAX | 23c | 53.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Vitality | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Vitality | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…4134backed 3DMAX | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked Vitality | 78c | 44.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 77cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…1611backed Vitality | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Vitality | 70c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…05f2backed Vitality | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 143 | 60.1%86 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Vitality | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Vitality | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…3c43backed Vitality | 79c | 13.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 3DMAX - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.