CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76a572a1b9ffe97dec62c7c2a9bd9f550846727b69b6526a26a44128a230d76f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Vitality | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.91 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked 3DMAX | 43c | 5,537$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.91 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 3DMAX | 1c | 3,810$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed 3DMAX | 43c | 3,530$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.75 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked Vitality | 61c | 2,570$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.89 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed 3DMAX | 39c | 2,535$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.68 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Vitality | 59c | 1,391$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.08 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed 3DMAX | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed 3DMAX | 41c | 894.24$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.64 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Vitality | 75c | 803.96$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Vitality | 58c | 725$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.5 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…1da2backed 3DMAX | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked 3DMAX | 42c | 692$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.64 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…966bbacked 3DMAX | 20c | 600.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked 3DMAX | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Vitality | 59c | 510.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.49 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Vitality | 58c | 470.95$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked 3DMAX | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed 3DMAX | 22c | 464.25$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.14 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed 3DMAX | 42c | 449.97$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vitality | 57c | 432.7$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.82 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed 3DMAX | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Vitality | 57c | 290$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Vitality | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked 3DMAX | 43c | 238.02$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed 3DMAX | 43c | 237.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed 3DMAX | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Vitality | 53c | 234.04$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Vitality | 57c | 199.61$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…539abacked 3DMAX | 43c | 193.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Vitality | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed 3DMAX | 22c | 136.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked 3DMAX | 44c | 135.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…1302backed Vitality | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…8063backed Vitality | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -8.7wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed Vitality | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed 3DMAX | 38c | 82.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 3DMAX | 42c | 78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4461…5999backed Vitality | 79c | 75.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4e…5ecbbacked Vitality | 59c | 71.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked 3DMAX | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked 3DMAX | 42c | 66.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed 3DMAX | 23c | 62.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…dfa4backed Vitality | 65c | 51.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a7…96f9backed Vitality | 59c | 51.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Vitality | 62c | 47.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5580…0507backed Vitality | 59c | 44.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Vitality | 59c | 37.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Vitality | 77c | 37.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked 3DMAX | 43c | 34.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed 3DMAX | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 225 | 51.1%115 W · 110 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed 3DMAX | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Vitality | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Vitality | 57c | 28.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Vitality | 79c | 26.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20bb…5bb4backed Vitality | 58c | 26.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Vitality | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1483backed Vitality | 75c | 21.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 3DMAX - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 3DMAX - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.