TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb2a…e1ce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$39.5
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked HEROIC Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$42.09
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37%+$11.1
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+82.5%+$17.7
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.42
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+203%+$36.55
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$43.17
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$51.44
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs 33 (BO3) - Exort Cataclysm Group Dbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.4%+$35.5
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+129.5%+$38.85
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs STATE (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Group Stagebacked STATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$44.4
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Favbet (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Playoffsbacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+97.5%+$29.25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5.4
All 20 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$18.67
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$28.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$67.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs S2G Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Seasonbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$11.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$48.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.