Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs S2G Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce7256d5160636735208708bc8579884d12e1661410f06a489fba5013662ec4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, S2G Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed S2G Esports | 1c | 3,038$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc847…262fbacked S2G Esports | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 12cpaid | +381.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed S2G Esports | 37c | 815.79$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.22 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 722.02$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.19 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Eternal Fire | 9c | 400.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.95 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked S2G Esports | 41c | 269.49$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.49 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7954backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 247.73$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 241.52$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed S2G Esports | 34c | 206.53$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed Eternal Fire | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Eternal Fire | 76c | 158.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373f…4275backed S2G Esports | 34c | 142.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 31c | 116.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…63c1backed S2G Esports | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb69…ac1bbacked S2G Esports | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Eternal Fire | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked S2G Esports | 77c | 54.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed S2G Esports | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79b…a9d1backed S2G Esports | 47c | 48.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a9…5d71backed Eternal Fire | 63c | 44.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…43c9backed S2G Esports | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…8e5fbacked Eternal Fire | 61c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Eternal Fire | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7078…c0f0backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x178a…6db8backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2a…e1cebacked Eternal Fire | 60c | 29.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab5f…f76ebacked Eternal Fire | 55c | 22.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Eternal Fire | 58c | 20.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…81cabacked S2G Esports | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Eternal Fire | 75c | 17.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs S2G Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Seasonthis page
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs S2G Esports (+1.5)S2G Esports won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs S2G Esports - Map 1 WinnerS2G Esports won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs S2G Esports - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.