Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs S2G Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69c085624c1609efb64315b88e4081a2958319599b735fea8ea9c58601565b51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- S2G Esportsof Eternal Fire, S2G Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Eternal Fire | 1c | 3,700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Eternal Fire | 48c | 1,791$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.47 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Eternal Fire | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 221 | 18.1%40 W · 181 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Eternal Fire | 54c | 370.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Eternal Fire | 53c | 313.71$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.1 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed S2G Esports | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed S2G Esports | 70c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed S2G Esports | 41c | 182.47$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed S2G Esports | 52c | 151.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed S2G Esports | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked S2G Esports | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d2…4fb3backed S2G Esports | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Eternal Fire | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs S2G Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs S2G Esports (+1.5)S2G Esports won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs S2G Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular SeasonEternal Fire won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs S2G Esports - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.