Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66690fc89430653a6d7662e0b0a99cac1eae026d867677e1dea0a763202440a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Antalyasporof Fenerbahçe SK, Antalyaspor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Antalyaspor | 66c | 3,756$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.49 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Fenerbahçe SK | 37c | 3,690$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.82 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Antalyaspor | 63c | 2,264$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.76 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 34c | 1,057$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.8 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…875ebacked Fenerbahçe SK | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fenerbahçe SK | 36c | 240.7$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 37c | 233$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Fenerbahçe SK | 20c | 211.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…2978backed Fenerbahçe SK | 12c | 207.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Fenerbahçe SK | 37c | 192.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 37c | 182$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Fenerbahçe SK | 39c | 179$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Fenerbahçe SK | 38c | 132$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Fenerbahçe SK | 38c | 124.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Fenerbahçe SK | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…1bdfbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 37c | 118.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Fenerbahçe SK | 12c | 100.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Antalyaspor | 62c | 96.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Fenerbahçe SK | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Antalyaspor | 63c | 74.48$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2a…e1cebacked Fenerbahçe SK | 38c | 69.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Fenerbahçe SK | 37c | 67.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Fenerbahçe SK | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Antalyaspor | 63c | 63.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…e49cbacked Antalyaspor | 62c | 57.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Antalyaspor | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b5…93abbacked Fenerbahçe SK | 38c | 31.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Antalyaspor | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…a2c0backed Antalyaspor | 67c | 17.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14bc…19c7backed Antalyaspor | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa452…0344backed Antalyaspor | 64c | 15.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)this page
- Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Antalyaspor (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Antalyaspor (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Antalyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.