Other European Leagues · resolved market
Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa46aadd5c39f50e3e25537940fedc8ad44b8f5ed13bd551e7b23dbd55e8b02e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 4,253$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.3 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 78c | 3,110$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.1 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 76c | 997.87$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.07 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 23c | 836.19$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 76c | 627.44$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.59 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 26c | 601.03$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.43 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 24c | 455$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 410.51$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.03 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 18c | 289.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 79c | 222$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 22c | 202.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 65c | 127.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 126.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 22c | 64.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd040…4e6bbacked Under | 32c | 63.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +61%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Over | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 79c | 44.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…f023backed Over | 77c | 35.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 36c | 28.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed Over | 70c | 21.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 80c | 19.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 77c | 17.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Over | 77c | 14.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 66cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5this page
- Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Antalyaspor (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Antalyaspor (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Antalyaspor won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Antalyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.