Other European Leagues · resolved market
Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a4be1789e60c2768b82f79283edec1d94532900e4aa2fa8378e1cfdb5124419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 61c | 250,000$151,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151,485.66 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 39c | 118,116$45,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,635.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 42c | 61,282$25,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,795.57 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 39c | 49,257$19,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,046.57 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 10,827$4,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,266.17 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 4,988$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.24 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Under | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 41c | 2,728$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.25 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…2b76backed Over | 63c | 2,500$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 1,026$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.97 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 44c | 694.66$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.92 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 9c | 531.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 64c | 391.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 74c | 350.97$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Over | 31c | 308.44$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 35c | 281.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 60c | 267.63$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.31 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 33c | 183.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 165.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 59c | 164.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 61c | 162.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 13c | 159.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 32c | 144.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 14c | 124.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 14c | 124.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 13c | 124.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 38c | 105.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 14c | 101.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 52c | 92.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 78.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 42c | 71.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0c…4f2bbacked Under | 42c | 70.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…655cbacked Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 21c | 57.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed Over | 59c | 50.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed Over | 60c | 49.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 36c | 44.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 60c | 41.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbec…d33bbacked Over | 32c | 41.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 60c | 35.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Over | 36c | 33.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed Over | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…8e63backed Under | 68c | 23.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 76c | 23.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Over | 63c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…2978backed Over | 45c | 22.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5this page
- Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Antalyaspor (-1.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Antalyaspor (-2.5)Fenerbahçe SK won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)Antalyaspor won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)Antalyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.