UFC · resolved market
UFC 325: Lawrence Lui vs. Sulangrangbo (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cbf942a44dbcfffb69acb186b3d401a0164fe8f79dab9ee7adb5774804ab673
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luiof Lui, Sulangrangbo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $417,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $472,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $417,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lui | 30c | 82,467$24,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,504.6 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Lui | 31c | 70,000$21,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,299.68 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Sulangrangbo | 71c | 64,915$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,000 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Lui | 28c | 50,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,999.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Sulangrangbo | 71c | 42,331$29,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,983.21 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Lui | 38c | 29,662$11,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,345.05 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Sulangrangbo | 64c | 25,596$16,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,345.89 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Sulangrangbo | 71c | 25,000$17,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,788.37 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Sulangrangbo | 69c | 24,040$16,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,476.06 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Lui | 41c | 22,258$9,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,139.63 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Lui | 29c | 16,955$4,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,964.83 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Sulangrangbo | 72c | 13,994$10,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,076 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Sulangrangbo | 69c | 10,868$7,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,498.62 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e7…5f44backed Sulangrangbo | 68c | 9,195$6,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,252.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Sulangrangbo | 69c | 9,061$6,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,252.09 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Sulangrangbo | 72c | 8,964$6,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,471.81 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Lui | 28c | 7,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Sulangrangbo | 69c | 6,700$4,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,614.84 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Lui | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Sulangrangbo | 56c | 4,759$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.83 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Sulangrangbo | 68c | 4,535$3,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Lui | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Sulangrangbo | 66c | 3,469$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.82 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Lui | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.28 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Sulangrangbo | 74c | 3,268$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.25 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lui | 68c | 3,255$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.55 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a4…7515backed Sulangrangbo | 65c | 3,202$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Sulangrangbo | 71c | 3,126$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.47 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Sulangrangbo | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Lui | 51c | 2,862$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.67 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Sulangrangbo | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…6f5ebacked Sulangrangbo | 69c | 2,573$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.36 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Sulangrangbo | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.97 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Lui | 28c | 2,346$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.12 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Sulangrangbo | 69c | 2,096$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Sulangrangbo | 69c | 2,041$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sulangrangbo | 69c | 2,028$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.32 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Lui | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e58…3864backed Sulangrangbo | 68c | 1,871$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Sulangrangbo | 69c | 1,704$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.76 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Sulangrangbo | 72c | 1,694$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Sulangrangbo | 63c | 1,535$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.21 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Lui | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Sulangrangbo | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Sulangrangbo | 68c | 1,482$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.51 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Sulangrangbo | 63c | 1,400$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.97 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Lui | 79c | 1,378$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Lui | 31c | 1,200$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Lui | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Sulangrangbo | 69c | 1,124$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.5 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Sulangrangbo | 69c | 1,050$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Lui | 49c | 1,018$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.3 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lui | 57c | 1,013$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.64 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…f8e1backed Sulangrangbo | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Sulangrangbo | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lui | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…3170backed Sulangrangbo | 67c | 985.96$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lui | 25c | 823.49$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.73 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…8faebacked Sulangrangbo | 69c | 728.21$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.55 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Lui | 61c | 723.21$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.21 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Sulangrangbo | 71c | 719$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Sulangrangbo | 71c | 704.97$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.53 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Lui | 29c | 700$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Sulangrangbo | 63c | 697.74$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.58 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Lui | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe455…9e9ebacked Lui | 46c | 614.59$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Lui | 27c | 532.47$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.71 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…649dbacked Lui | 35c | 522.96$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.05 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Sulangrangbo | 68c | 518.59$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.6 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8e5abacked Sulangrangbo | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Lui | 28c | 484.14$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.58 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sulangrangbo | 70c | 471.87$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.31 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed Lui | 28c | 467.86$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.86 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sulangrangbo | 35c | 455.14$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.23 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Sulangrangbo | 69c | 424.32$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.47 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Lui | 30c | 421.91$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.34 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Sulangrangbo | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Lui | 29c | 391.76$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Lui | 28c | 390$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Sulangrangbo | 72c | 388.89$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…89ccbacked Lui | 38c | 388.58$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sulangrangbo | 68c | 383.84$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.85 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Lui | 33c | 366.67$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.67 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Lui | 28c | 360$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…9e3bbacked Lui | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Sulangrangbo | 70c | 350.03$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.02 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e4…22cbbacked Sulangrangbo | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8828…c29abacked Lui | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…c3debacked Lui | 40c | 334.25$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.55 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Lui | 30c | 333.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.2 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Lui | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…7dc1backed Sulangrangbo | 68c | 261.16$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Sulangrangbo | 69c | 256.61$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sulangrangbo | 21c | 245.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Lui | 44c | 227.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.33 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lui | 61c | 226.4$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…7eebbacked Lui | 79c | 224.14$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Lui | 28c | 211.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.31 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb591…aba5backed Lui | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Sulangrangbo | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 325: Lawrence Lui vs. Sulangrangbo (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)this page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Lawrence Lui win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Sulangrangbo win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.