South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2e9decdee969c4209f579230f62674ca4849523ee836506b69a1be4ad1e9933
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 18c | 6,801$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 35c | 2,902$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.87 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 67c | 2,689$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.37 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 80c | 1,502$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.17 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 17c | 1,194$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.26 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…ac13backed Yes | 66c | 1,135$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed No | 33c | 669.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.1 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed No | 43c | 583.4$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.86 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 19c | 544.05$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 35c | 537.14$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.68 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 55c | 413.31$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.99 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 33c | 343.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 33c | 274.11$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 56c | 178.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 19c | 174.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 67c | 151.68$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…4508backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 33c | 149.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 56c | 136.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…82bcbacked Yes | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Yes | 66c | 133.64$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…3914backed No | 47c | 128.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 41c | 111.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e2…482dbacked Yes | 66c | 101.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed Yes | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4915…60f2backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 56c | 82.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…72ccbacked No | 34c | 81.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…ab11backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 35c | 76.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9795…390dbacked Yes | 65c | 75.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…accfbacked Yes | 57c | 71.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb58c…5fc5backed No | 27c | 67.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9306…cf80backed Yes | 56c | 53.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ca…396cbacked Yes | 67c | 38.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…9622backed Yes | 59c | 37.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…22d4backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes | 56c | 35.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 33c | 32.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…2c2cbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2a…e1cebacked Yes | 67c | 28.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…613dbacked Yes | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd47…173bbacked Yes | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cee…b3b1backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Newell's Old Boys end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-02-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.