Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x895236c28a03442f6f946f04aef7c61f4ae3659c44dd88f7542885651356a29f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 47c | 11,769$5,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,237.54 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.99 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 47c | 7,684$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,072.32 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 44c | 5,057$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.66 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 53c | 4,941$2,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.68 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 54c | 2,944$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.88 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 2,384$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.42 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 1,523$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.7 | 5,677 | 42%2,382 W · 3,295 L | +74.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 60c | 1,226$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.56 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…d79fbacked Yes | 54c | 954.28$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 31c | 760.51$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.36 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 70c | 717.96$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | -22.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Yes | 49c | 695.98$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.59 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Yes | 59c | 605.51$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.86 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 7c | 597.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 46c | 572.75$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.28 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 31c | 479.2$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.11 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 465.13$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.08 | 2,366 | 46.8%1,108 W · 1,258 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 37c | 464.55$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.98 | 669 | 41.4%277 W · 392 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 55c | 457.17$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.07 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8abe…61debacked Yes | 11c | 369.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 46c | 327.63$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 64c | 281.22$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.97 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…5c06backed Yes | 67c | 270$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 33c | 254.91$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.79 | 877 | 60.5%531 W · 346 L | +92.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 59c | 252.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 24c | 230$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 48c | 226.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.94 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 49c | 206.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eac…525ebacked Yes | 54c | 185.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…b8ffbacked Yes | 48c | 178.52$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 46c | 173.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 55c | 170$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 39c | 156.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 962 | 44%423 W · 539 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 53c | 135.84$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2a…e1cebacked Yes | 49c | 130.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…80f9backed Yes | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 126.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 32c | 108.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 47c | 103.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 1,165 | 60.4%704 W · 461 L | +67.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 241 | 30.3%73 W · 168 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…545abacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 53c | 81.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 517 | 56.1%290 W · 227 L | +23.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 59c | 73.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 44c | 65.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 53c | 59.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 41c | 59.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 47c | 46.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 996 | 52.6%524 W · 472 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Yes | 37c | 42.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 71c | 42.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 907 | 57.9%525 W · 382 L | +55.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 47c | 38.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 40.7%88 W · 128 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…2f17backed Yes | 58c | 34.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked Yes | 55c | 30.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 28.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 2,607 | 52.1%1,358 W · 1,249 L | +9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 45c | 28.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…d2fcbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…24dfbacked Yes | 57c | 26.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.