TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$335,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$362,954

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Astralis22c54,633$12,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,181.613,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Astralis4c31,406$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.3313043.1%56 W · 74 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d89…5e3abacked Astralis0c20,520$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis42c7,000$2,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,934.412,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed PARIVISION62c5,350$3,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.61,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed PARIVISION70c4,945$3,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.446149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis31c4,594$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.681,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa67f…a90fbacked Astralis0c4,151$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked PARIVISION65c3,926$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.2127133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Astralis29c3,491$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.3142440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Astralis30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.946949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4a8…2587backed PARIVISION43c2,831$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.11233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed PARIVISION49c2,597$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.6219455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a8…bdc6backed Astralis69c2,575$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76610753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Astralis33c2,389$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7854621.7%10 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION36c2,358$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.623,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Astralis51c2,189$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.659839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis48c2,162$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.7881843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Astralis48c2,147$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.152,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5498…126fbacked PARIVISION75c1,875$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.845151%26 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9160…de3dbacked Astralis11c1,865$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5518040.6%73 W · 107 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed PARIVISION50c1,785$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.434156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfadd…3955backed PARIVISION35c1,561$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.258052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ab…0fe6backed PARIVISION70c1,551$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.363253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Astralis75c1,494$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.0215050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Astralis28c1,247$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.2297040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis52c1,130$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.337,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Astralis30c1,057$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.8724538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc7c…4ce2backed PARIVISION72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28011958%69 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed PARIVISION51c911.99$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.934,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c4…f0a4backed PARIVISION22c897.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.4513937.4%52 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION42c868.94$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.191,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Astralis50c837.12$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.432,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked PARIVISION41c789.09$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.6522927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked PARIVISION66c770$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.8547738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Astralis73c684.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022754.2%123 W · 104 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked PARIVISION34c650.73$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.2132552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed PARIVISION39c638.53$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.749337.6%35 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed PARIVISION66c620$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.426451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01a…bf29backed Astralis46c605.26$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.7310167.3%68 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed PARIVISION58c599.99$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25250043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Astralis27c548.11$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9913952.5%73 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed PARIVISION72c523.29$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.2926360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed PARIVISION49c514.33$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.235841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed PARIVISION26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.051,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Astralis28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14081244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked PARIVISION44c455.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.2335341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Astralis40c428$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.591,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed PARIVISION56c423.33$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.5369863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Astralis39c410.66$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.372,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2218…9467backed PARIVISION50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73ce…4994backed Astralis31c350$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67c3…0e36backed PARIVISION72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.224860.4%29 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x331a…ff18backed Astralis64c314.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007841%32 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b5…539abacked PARIVISION42c309.52$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.526250%31 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed PARIVISION34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19858651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed PARIVISION41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1776640.9%27 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5203…966bbacked Astralis30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked PARIVISION44c259.66$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8132548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2f…8f01backed Astralis61c255.37$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.78728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76e8…6001backed PARIVISION42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6084…e875backed Astralis61c247.7$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.110152.5%53 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed PARIVISION45c239.23$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9227348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed PARIVISION55c231.62$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.841,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed PARIVISION61c229.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.516755.2%37 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Astralis49c211.82$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.757425.7%19 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked PARIVISION68c211.31$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3244641.3%184 W · 262 L-28.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Astralis60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022556.9%128 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b4f…a442backed PARIVISION50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+49.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed PARIVISION71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5842057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Astralis11c184.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209244.6%41 W · 51 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed PARIVISION57c181.71$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9413537.8%51 W · 84 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a53…1b12backed PARIVISION42c160.94$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.662552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed PARIVISION42c160$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.858961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked Astralis35c149.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3610227.5%28 W · 74 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked Astralis42c143$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.068248.8%40 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2849…0cd8backed PARIVISION70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861580%12 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74d2…4fb3backed Astralis62c139.51$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.23850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed PARIVISION73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9962538.6%241 W · 384 L-16.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed PARIVISION73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9931654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a4f…5459backed Astralis64c133.94$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.31752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65b6…23bfbacked PARIVISION38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+54.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed PARIVISION40c130.8$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.660838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Astralis77c130.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009364.5%60 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Astralis45c125.09$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.999941.4%41 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked PARIVISION70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3660147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Astralis50c119.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9944743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee3…9d1ebacked PARIVISION42c108.3$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.33033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked Astralis65c105.46$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5521354.5%116 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeab…1f80backed Astralis12c105$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd7c…454fbacked Astralis28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed PARIVISION70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3016950.9%86 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked PARIVISION42c99.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked PARIVISION42c99.19$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1961754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Astralis49c94.46$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0131757.7%183 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad5…7c7ebacked PARIVISION73c93.52$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.252065%13 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5d…76b0backed Astralis51c92.01$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.92825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked PARIVISION50c91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.912,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Astralis40c88.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.769624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Astralis50c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6511245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.