TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astralisof PARIVISION, Astralis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,816

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION38c29,081$11,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,159.433,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Astralis67c11,161$7,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.7627133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis62c7,498$4,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,817.482,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION19c5,620$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.293,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Astralis49c5,500$2,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.9919455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis58c4,839$2,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.741,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed PARIVISION46c3,340$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52134156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Astralis59c2,369$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.159839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed PARIVISION48c2,348$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.075543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked PARIVISION43c2,343$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.4932548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Astralis73c2,303$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.111,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5498…126fbacked Astralis75c1,980$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.725151%26 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf2…7706backed PARIVISION42c1,829$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.13630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked PARIVISION58c1,723$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99981751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked PARIVISION26c1,532$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.957,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Astralis44c1,510$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.4222927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Astralis60c1,494$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.974621.7%10 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed Astralis67c1,487$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.0215970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked PARIVISION37c1,462$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.842,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8120…057dbacked PARIVISION6c1,400$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick6cpaid+927.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x213f…1da2backed Astralis50c1,195$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.3610244.1%45 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked PARIVISION60c1,106$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.3365650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked PARIVISION30c1,037$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.692,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Astralis55c979.03$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.891,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Astralis68c900.14$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.9515050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed PARIVISION36c834.77$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.49337.6%35 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed Astralis43c815.02$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.56640.9%27 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a8…bdc6backed Astralis62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4510753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2218…9467backed PARIVISION66c757.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1be…a7f6backed PARIVISION9c744.14$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.012334.8%8 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick20cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed PARIVISION54c741.14$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015162.3%94 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x331a…ff18backed Astralis61c733.3$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.997841%32 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x743e…16aebacked PARIVISION58c721.6$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.49944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Astralis74c686$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.671,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed PARIVISION31c604.24$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.329128.5%83 W · 208 L-30.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Astralis56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26444648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed PARIVISION40c599.96$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9816945%76 W · 93 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9160…de3dbacked PARIVISION48c597.23$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28518040.6%73 W · 107 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5f5…0044backed PARIVISION43c596.69$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.085244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed PARIVISION58c525.18$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.650043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5cd…ced6backed PARIVISION14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5203…966bbacked PARIVISION42c452.88$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.794151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Astralis62c415.11$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7420050.5%101 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x944f…d441backed Astralis58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1688148.1%39 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ca…b467backed PARIVISION45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.529769.1%67 W · 30 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION25c384.28$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.542,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d2…4fb3backed PARIVISION18c383.46$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.24850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed Astralis58c379.98$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5924649.6%122 W · 124 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67c3…0e36backed Astralis69c357.08$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.084860.4%29 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astralis54c350.93$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.435,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfadd…3955backed Astralis60c342.59$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.98052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf4…b11abacked Astralis58c339.18$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.854961.2%30 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked PARIVISION58c307.72$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18061754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed PARIVISION45c299.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13558651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd7c…454fbacked Astralis34c299.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.995352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Astralis50c299.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9953545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed PARIVISION32c280.12$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.461,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd4…35b5backed PARIVISION7c280$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2540%2 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick10cpaid+220.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked PARIVISION31c277.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.062,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Astralis37c235$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0550340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Astralis78c226.93$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1460147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Astralis76c226.01$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6147738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9777…6b53backed Astralis42c222.88$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2719732.5%64 W · 133 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2f…8f01backed PARIVISION47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…45a9backed PARIVISION38c212.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked PARIVISION7c204.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b5…539abacked Astralis76c203.95$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.956250%31 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa5b…4a6dbacked PARIVISION56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122544%11 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b4f…a442backed Astralis70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+49.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x11b4…7e7bbacked PARIVISION39c200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773571.4%25 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed Astralis44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1125048%24 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed Astralis51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.086755.2%37 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe563…b42ebacked PARIVISION44c188.22$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed Astralis60c186.92$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7723161.5%142 W · 89 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed Astralis59c179.31$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5211928.6%34 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Astralis62c173.59$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.315954.7%87 W · 72 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Astralis55c173.45$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4538636%139 W · 247 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis56c166.18$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.314,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed PARIVISION26c157.69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4143933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked PARIVISION66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Astralis58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6358961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed PARIVISION32c147.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3127348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee3…9d1ebacked Astralis58c144.48$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.683033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked PARIVISION63c140$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.240950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed PARIVISION44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015142.4%64 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4578…d659backed PARIVISION58c133.07$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked PARIVISION35c125.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.221042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Astralis60c122.17$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6644743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed PARIVISION62c118.69$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5924846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa090…9854backed PARIVISION35c117.08$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.867238.9%28 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Astralis66c111.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.451,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed PARIVISION35c111.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.335841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x07d4…045fbacked Astralis46c110.87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.874148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e5…862bbacked PARIVISION59c110.81$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1974…bc18backed PARIVISION57c110.39$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.393644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9335…0c21backed Astralis77c108.69$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed PARIVISION63c106.96$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3812653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Astralis64c104.8$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3769863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Astralis48c103.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8718336.6%67 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked PARIVISION49c102.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3228143.8%123 W · 158 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.