CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5ff6d74ee7eb105a06c471ce57e3ed9a63ccaed916317342dabf2c1c9f415d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 60c | 4,742$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.9 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 3,507$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.46 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 36c | 1,686$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.93 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 59c | 1,033$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.18 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3d…68ebbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Under | 33c | 946.93$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 43c | 763$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.48 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 65c | 635.62$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.51 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 55c | 365.49$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.02 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 44c | 263.93$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.23 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…6b6abacked Over | 53c | 151.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Over | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 89 | 74.2%66 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 26c | 81.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 64c | 37.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 31c | 37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 53c | 27.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…7c2fbacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group AAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.