CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7702aca163182d925f51f4cf6e2b7d25a389afb39b370e086b47d805269c03b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astralisof PARIVISION, Astralis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked PARIVISION | 47c | 99,999$47,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,999.53 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Astralis | 55c | 41,632$22,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,707.36 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Astralis | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,800 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…3b3ebacked Astralis | 55c | 8,281$4,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,726.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Astralis | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Astralis | 53c | 4,710$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.7 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Astralis | 53c | 4,600$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed PARIVISION | 45c | 2,980$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed PARIVISION | 45c | 2,690$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.46 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Astralis | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Astralis | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed PARIVISION | 45c | 815.56$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567d…68bfbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…1da2backed Astralis | 60c | 417.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.96 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed PARIVISION | 40c | 292.57$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed PARIVISION | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 40.8%117 W · 170 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed PARIVISION | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Astralis | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked PARIVISION | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Astralis | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 70.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Astralis | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Astralis | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Astralis | 56c | 39.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked PARIVISION | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 826 | 46.2%382 W · 444 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1853…68ffbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Astralis | 58c | 17.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group AAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 1 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.